Since 2000 here are the guys who went #1 at QB:
Mike Vick, David Carr, Carson Palmer, Eli Manning, JaMarcus Russell, Matthew Stafford, Sam Bradford, Andrew Luck, Jameis Winston, Jared Goff, Baker Mayfield, Kyler Murray, Joe Burrow, Trevor Lawrence. Bryce Young is too soon to know what you've got IMO. Definitely some busts, but a lot of good QBs on there too.
Here are the top-10 QBs who didn't go #1:
Joey Harrington, Byron Leftwich, Philip Rivers, Vince Young, Matt Leinart, Matt Ryan, Mark Sanchez, Jake Locker, Blaine Gabbert, RG3, Ryan Tannehill, Blake Bortles, Marcus Mariota, Carson Wentz, Mitch Trubisky, Pat Mahomes, Sam Darnold, Josh Allen, Josh Rosen, Daniel Jones, Tua Tagovailoa, Justin Herbert, Zach Wilson, Trey Lance. CJ Stroud and Trent Richardson too, but too early to really tell on those guys as with Bryce Young.
There are some really good players on this list, but I think if I had to take a blind stab at one of these two lists, I'd probably take it off the first one.
Agree, or no?