I don't see how Podz is anything but a massive eval failure but LK is right that good programs wash it off because they know they're going to be right like 80% of the time.
Cf. Watching the Raptors v. Bulls game the other day I got annoyed all over again that we whiffed on VanVleet during a time Weber was offering guys like Jalen James and Michael Orris. If we had been 99-06 Illini I would not have cared.
I guess I struggle to see how recruiting a kid, offering him a scholarship to play for you, having him not play much year 1 because he wasn't ready and a once-in-a-lifetime scenario causes you to have two 5 year starters ahead of him on the depth chart, and then him deciding to go play elsewhere despite you wanting him to stay is an evaluation failure. I don't think I've ever seen a guy a coach wanted who chose to play elsewhere characterized that way before.
If anything the bigger evaluation failures are the guys they wanted who left but ended up bad, right? Like wanting Adam Miller to stay and having him leave anyway looks like a worse evaluation than doing the same thing with Podziemski IMO.
They could've played him last year when he wasn't ready for this level of competition, I guess, but it'd have probably cost us a conference title - and by no means guarantees he wouldn't have decided to leave anyway. Obviously playing time isn't correlated really at all to whether someone decides to leave.