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Other CBB games

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Reacher

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Re: Other CBB games
« Reply #495 on: December 31, 2022, 02:38:57 PM »
Quote from: IVMP on December 30, 2022, 10:52:52 PM
And for punching another hole in "win probability!"

But KU lost.
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"He commented more than once that, 'You know, Hitler did some good things, too,'" Kelly recalled to The Times. Kelly said he would usually quash the conversation by saying "nothing (Hitler) did, you could argue, was good," but that Trump would occasionally bring up the topic again.
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Reacher

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Re: Other CBB games
« Reply #496 on: December 31, 2022, 02:41:58 PM »
Was there a team that was a 100% favorite and lost?
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"He commented more than once that, 'You know, Hitler did some good things, too,'" Kelly recalled to The Times. Kelly said he would usually quash the conversation by saying "nothing (Hitler) did, you could argue, was good," but that Trump would occasionally bring up the topic again.
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Dominic

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Re: Other CBB games
« Reply #497 on: January 01, 2023, 04:39:55 PM »
Maryland looking like a real bad loss.  They are down by 30 at halftime vs a bad Michigan team
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Somewhere in Mn

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Re: Other CBB games
« Reply #498 on: January 02, 2023, 09:22:22 PM »
Rutgers drains a 3 with 10 seconds left to beat Purdue by 1. At Purdue.
« Last Edit: January 02, 2023, 10:17:56 PM by Mn »
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illinicalvin

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Re: Other CBB games
« Reply #499 on: January 02, 2023, 11:29:24 PM »
Lol at Purdue blowing Citrus Bowl respectability and a no. 1 basketball ranking at home on the same day.
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Judge Judy

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Re: Other CBB games
« Reply #500 on: January 02, 2023, 11:31:14 PM »
Quote from: illinicalvin on January 02, 2023, 11:29:24 PM
Lol at Purdue blowing Citrus Bowl respectability and a no. 1 basketball ranking at home on the same day.

+1
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IVMP

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Re: Other CBB games
« Reply #501 on: January 02, 2023, 11:46:52 PM »
Quote from: Tempo34 on December 31, 2022, 02:41:58 PM
Was there a team that was a 100% favorite and lost?

Tough to say from those trend-wave graphs that are provided. But I'd say in the last 3-4 weeks, there have been many cases where a team was damn close to the 100 percent line and then either blew it or had to go 3 OTs to win.
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I am a former 5-star general. Or maybe it was 4-star.
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IVMP

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Re: Other CBB games
« Reply #502 on: January 02, 2023, 11:47:35 PM »
Quote from: Mn on January 02, 2023, 09:22:22 PM
Rutgers drains a 3 with 10 seconds left to beat Purdue by 1. At Purdue.

Purdue almost lost to Nebraska. This is not a mammoth surprise.
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I am a former 5-star general. Or maybe it was 4-star.
Nichi claims a guard with a 1.3 assist-to-TO ratio is a good passer.
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Somewhere in Mn

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Re: Other CBB games
« Reply #503 on: January 03, 2023, 06:24:47 AM »
Quote from: IVMP on January 02, 2023, 11:47:35 PM
Purdue almost lost to Nebraska. This is not a mammoth surprise.
True, but winning a road game is not easy. And winning at Purdue is no easy task and, true, it's not a mammoth surprise. Reading they've won 5 of the last 6 vs PU, after losing 8 in a row, may border on mammoth surprise tho.  ;)
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Reacher

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Re: Other CBB games
« Reply #504 on: January 03, 2023, 07:18:36 AM »
Quote from: illinicalvin on January 02, 2023, 11:29:24 PM
Lol at Purdue blowing Citrus Bowl respectability and a no. 1 basketball ranking at home on the same day.

Lol good point
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"He commented more than once that, 'You know, Hitler did some good things, too,'" Kelly recalled to The Times. Kelly said he would usually quash the conversation by saying "nothing (Hitler) did, you could argue, was good," but that Trump would occasionally bring up the topic again.
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Reacher

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Re: Other CBB games
« Reply #505 on: January 03, 2023, 07:19:33 AM »
Quote from: IVMP on January 02, 2023, 11:46:52 PM
Tough to say from those trend-wave graphs that are provided. But I'd say in the last 3-4 weeks, there have been many cases where a team was damn close to the 100 percent line and then either blew it or had to go 3 OTs to win.

*snicker*
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"He commented more than once that, 'You know, Hitler did some good things, too,'" Kelly recalled to The Times. Kelly said he would usually quash the conversation by saying "nothing (Hitler) did, you could argue, was good," but that Trump would occasionally bring up the topic again.
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Judge Judy

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Re: Other CBB games
« Reply #506 on: January 03, 2023, 07:23:32 AM »
Quote from: IVMP on January 02, 2023, 11:47:35 PM
Purdue almost lost to Nebraska. This is not a mammoth surprise.

But what’s the probability?!
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Reacher

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Re: Other CBB games
« Reply #507 on: January 03, 2023, 08:29:11 AM »
Quote from: IVMP on January 02, 2023, 11:46:52 PM
Tough to say from those trend-wave graphs that are provided. But I'd say in the last 3-4 weeks, there have been many cases where a team was damn close to the 100 percent line and then either blew it or had to go 3 OTs to win.

So when you say “damn close to 100” is that 99.8? 95.1? Looking for some context here.
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"He commented more than once that, 'You know, Hitler did some good things, too,'" Kelly recalled to The Times. Kelly said he would usually quash the conversation by saying "nothing (Hitler) did, you could argue, was good," but that Trump would occasionally bring up the topic again.
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IVMP

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Re: Other CBB games
« Reply #508 on: January 03, 2023, 09:39:14 AM »
Quote from: Tempo34 on January 03, 2023, 08:29:11 AM
So when you say “damn close to 100” is that 99.8? 95.1? Looking for some context here.

You're missing the point here. When there's just an image of a trend-wave graph, the best you can do is eyeball it and estimate. If it's an actual graph output where you can click on points and get details, you can get the level of precision you mention. But in many cases, it's definitely above 95.

There might be post-game outputs where you can see the "win probability" at every critical point of the game. I generally don't go searching for those.
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I am a former 5-star general. Or maybe it was 4-star.
Nichi claims a guard with a 1.3 assist-to-TO ratio is a good passer.
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IVMP

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Re: Other CBB games
« Reply #509 on: January 03, 2023, 09:45:34 AM »
Quote from: Tempo34 on January 03, 2023, 07:19:33 AM
*snicker*

You're being a tool. Here is the ESPN link from yesterday:

https://www.espn.com/college-football/game?gameId=401442013

This summary has the chart I was talking about where you can highlight points of the game. When USC was ahead 45-30, the alleged win probability was 99.8 percent.

Once these are no longer "live" at ESPN -- whenever that is -- you either have no graph or just an image that's not interactive.
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I am a former 5-star general. Or maybe it was 4-star.
Nichi claims a guard with a 1.3 assist-to-TO ratio is a good passer.
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