I don’t think Jameis Winston was ever a “can’t miss.” There were definitely character concerns there. Being a consensus #1 isn’t quite the same thing as a “can’t miss.” Of course, there’s always a chance a guy busts, but there are a handful here and there that are extremely safe. I wouldn’t have called Mayfield or Winston “extremely safe.” I don’t recall any Andrew Luck comparison with either. Either way, I don’t find this debate stimulating or useful. You don’t have to draft a QB at #1 to get a good one. In fact, you’re just as likely to get a great one at 15 or even 32.