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General Category => The Deuce => Topic started by: murphstahoe on June 06, 2024, 11:44:36 PM

Title: Stonks
Post by: murphstahoe on June 06, 2024, 11:44:36 PM
Deserves it's own thread. Have a conceptual question for Q97...

Supposedly Keith Gill bought 120,000 contracts on Gamestop, which are basically deep in the money - because he announced a live stream.

Either someone has to buy back the contracts from him or they have to deliver shares. Let's say the people who wrote the contracts are like "screw it, here's your shares". If Gill doesn't have the cash to take the shares....

I guess he eventually has to blink and start selling his contracts, and the buyers can try to lowball him, knowing that he can't let them expire since he can't afford to buy the shares...

this is a really interesting case where "something" has a "price", stock has a price, the option has a price, but the price is really "last traded price" but cannot possibly scale to liquidate since there aren't enough buyers to absorb the current owner disposing of the item.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: ILLove1997 on June 07, 2024, 12:31:30 AM
He bought the options so he is the owner of the contract.  He decides when to exercise or just close out (sell) the contract at the market price.

For every contract he bought there was a seller out there so they are the ones that are gonna get fucked with big negative returns.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: murphstahoe on June 07, 2024, 12:43:34 AM
He bought the options so he is the owner of the contract.  He decides when to exercise or just close out (sell) the contract at the market price.

For every contract he bought there was a seller out there so they are the ones that are gonna get fucked with big negative returns.

Understood.

Let's say the stock goes to 60. They have to deliver shares. What if they don't have the money...? I mean, you can say they are fucked, but that doesn't make money appear.

Reference: when the housing market went kaput in 2008, Burry, Reisman, etc.. had default swaps on the defaulting mortgage bonds, but AIG was in no position to pay them out at par. To realize profits they were selling CDS contracts at half or less of what the insurance contract would pay, to people willing to try to extract value from CDS contracts that had value at face but the guarantor was going bankrupt.

At some point, Gill might have options at 20, stock could be at 60, and he takes 10-20 bucks a share for the contracts to close his position to someone willing to go to court with the contract's seller.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: ILLove1997 on June 07, 2024, 10:22:33 AM
Understood.

Let's say the stock goes to 60. They have to deliver shares. What if they don't have the money...? I mean, you can say they are fucked, but that doesn't make money appear.

Reference: when the housing market went kaput in 2008, Burry, Reisman, etc.. had default swaps on the defaulting mortgage bonds, but AIG was in no position to pay them out at par. To realize profits they were selling CDS contracts at half or less of what the insurance contract would pay, to people willing to try to extract value from CDS contracts that had value at face but the guarantor was going bankrupt.

At some point, Gill might have options at 20, stock could be at 60, and he takes 10-20 bucks a share for the contracts to close his position to someone willing to go to court with the contract's seller.

Hopefully those that are short calls are writing them covered (owning 100 shares of GME for every 1 option)

The folks that are short naked calls ( don't hold the underlying 100 shares per contract and extremely risky due to potential for unlimited loss) are more advanced investors and shouldn't be approved for that level unless that have substantial assets and trading experience

if Gill has 20 strike options and the stock is 60, at expiration or close to it, that option contract would be worth 40 bucks each

The OCC (Option Clearing Corporation) deals with all the execution and opening/closing of contracts

No way he'll get short changed due to the fact that if there's anyone out there that could acquire (in your example) 20 dollar strike options for 10-20 bucks when the underlying stock is 60 bucks, that would be a tasty arbitrage opportunity for everyone (able to acquire a stock for 40 bucks that's worth 60, instant 20 dollar per share profit!)
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: murphstahoe on June 07, 2024, 10:42:20 AM
Hopefully those that are short calls are writing them covered (owning 100 shares of GME for every 1 option)

The folks that are short naked calls ( don't hold the underlying 100 shares per contract and extremely risky due to potential for unlimited loss) are more advanced investors and shouldn't be approved for that level unless that have substantial assets and trading experience

Counterpoint: Bear Stearns
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: murphstahoe on June 11, 2024, 05:34:59 PM
https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/technology/nvidia-stock-surge-boosts-employee-worth-to-over-100-million-each/ar-BB1nZP86?ocid=entnewsntp&pc=U531&cvid=7ea5b7402ca0428caeba5d0ad0138209&ei=11
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: ILLove1997 on June 11, 2024, 06:44:00 PM
https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/technology/nvidia-stock-surge-boosts-employee-worth-to-over-100-million-each/ar-BB1nZP86?ocid=entnewsntp&pc=U531&cvid=7ea5b7402ca0428caeba5d0ad0138209&ei=11

Tell ya what if I had a hundred million of my own dollars I'd sure as shit retire while I could still enjoy it
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: murphstahoe on June 12, 2024, 10:51:21 AM
Tell ya what if I had a hundred million of my own dollars I'd sure as shit retire while I could still enjoy it

Waiting until my son goes to college - there are some tangible benefits to having that green logo that filter down to him that money can't really buy, he got into a pretty nice camp at UIUC this summer in the EE/CS department. The company has some really good summer STEM programs for employee kids - in our labs playing with CUDA/AI programming, and that ends up on resumes. In the current environment, it's a pretty good name drop - I mean maybe that's not the straw that broke the camel's back but he has friends who did not get in.

And it's fun work, the company treats us very well, including with respect to PTO.

Been a wild ride.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: ILLove1997 on June 12, 2024, 11:01:45 AM
Waiting until my son goes to college - there are some tangible benefits to having that green logo that filter down to him that money can't really buy, he got into a pretty nice camp at UIUC this summer in the EE/CS department. The company has some really good summer STEM programs for employee kids - in our labs playing with CUDA/AI programming, and that ends up on resumes. In the current environment, it's a pretty good name drop - I mean maybe that's not the straw that broke the camel's back but he has friends who did not get in.

And it's fun work, the company treats us very well, including with respect to PTO.

Been a wild ride.

Ah nice, are you trying to get your son into UIUC?
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: murphstahoe on June 12, 2024, 11:17:17 AM
Ah nice, are you trying to get your son into UIUC?

well, he's only a Freshman...

Certainly he'll end up applying - I mean the only "trying" I can do is help him do good in High School. Can't buy your way in, and he's not gonna be an Underwood recruit

I were king I'd wish he'd get into and attend Cal-Berkeley, but that's equally crazy competitive as Illinois.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: murphstahoe on June 18, 2024, 04:33:05 PM
The

Most

Valuable

Company

In

The

World

And y'all wouldn't listen to your fellow alum
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: murphstahoe on July 17, 2024, 03:19:00 PM
Nvidia down 8% today. CNBC blaming it on Trump rattling sabres for tariffs and china.

What will my MAGA relatives do? Trump is softening on abortion and crashing their stock portfolio. It's all fine and good in the cult until the pocketbook gets punished.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: murphstahoe on July 31, 2024, 11:35:05 AM
She's worse at this than Jasn!

https://x.com/quiverquant/status/1818326015766081795?s=46&t=8UlDFE3EzIqoUdx1InLIsw
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: ILLove1997 on July 31, 2024, 03:38:07 PM
She's worse at this than Jasn!

https://x.com/quiverquant/status/1818326015766081795?s=46&t=8UlDFE3EzIqoUdx1InLIsw

Almost as bad as Cathy Wood!
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: murphstahoe on July 31, 2024, 03:47:21 PM
Almost as bad as Cathy Wood!

When will that nutter's 15 minutes end?
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: Reacher on July 31, 2024, 04:30:21 PM
She's worse at this than Jasn!

https://x.com/quiverquant/status/1818326015766081795?s=46&t=8UlDFE3EzIqoUdx1InLIsw

She’s no Nancy Pelosi.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: ThePAMan on July 31, 2024, 04:40:26 PM
She’s no Nancy Pelosi.

That's a good one, Tempo!
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: ILLove1997 on July 31, 2024, 04:59:32 PM
She’s no Nancy Pelosi.

Pelosi is an even more legendary investor than Warren Buffett

Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: ThePAMan on August 02, 2024, 01:49:48 PM
Will QAnon97 finally come out on top in this contest the way things are going?
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: murphstahoe on August 03, 2024, 12:06:32 AM
Will QAnon97 finally come out on top in this contest the way things are going?

His calls are already past the strike date.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: ThePAMan on August 05, 2024, 12:12:56 PM
Sounds like there are quite a few buying opportunities out there.....
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: murphstahoe on August 05, 2024, 12:34:13 PM
Sounds like there are quite a few buying opportunities out there.....

Sometimes a blind squirrel finds a nut. Wife decided she hated our rental, so we closed escrow on a purchase this week. I sold the stock to pay for it 3 weeks ago. Better lucky than good.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: ThePAMan on August 05, 2024, 12:37:32 PM
Sometimes a blind squirrel finds a nut. Wife decided she hated our rental, so we closed escrow on a purchase this week. I sold the stock to pay for it 3 weeks ago. Better lucky than good.

Murph relating to the common American, yet again!
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: murphstahoe on August 05, 2024, 12:55:24 PM
Murph relating to the common American, yet again!

Well, it used to be common for Americans to work hard, anyway.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: murphstahoe on August 15, 2024, 07:41:52 PM
Will QAnon97 finally come out on top in this contest the way things are going?

PAMan = Paper Hands is a match?
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: ThePAMan on August 15, 2024, 07:45:46 PM
PAMan = Paper Hands is a match?

Ha..maybe look at the 401(k) accounts every six months to make sure they are still there....
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: murphstahoe on August 19, 2024, 07:15:00 PM
Will QAnon97 finally come out on top in this contest the way things are going?

I presume this was a rhetorical question
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: ThePAMan on August 19, 2024, 09:30:20 PM
I presume this was a rhetorical question

Was thinking QAnon97 would be supporting a recession....
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: ILLove1997 on August 20, 2024, 11:29:32 AM
Was thinking QAnon97 would be supporting a recession....

soft landing gang
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: ThePAMan on August 20, 2024, 11:36:33 AM
soft landing gang

Fed going to cut rates soon? What's your call?
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: murphstahoe on August 20, 2024, 11:58:53 AM
Fed going to cut rates soon? What's your call?

Depends on who Powell favors in the election.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: illiniray on August 26, 2024, 06:17:23 PM
https://thechaikinreport.com/wall-street-legend-who-called-the-priceline-collapse-in-2012-the-2020-crash-and-the-2022-bear-market-issues-a-dire-warning-for-americas-favorite-a-i-stocks/?cid=MKT751062&eid=MKT811920&utm_source=taboola&utm_medium=referral#tblciGiC6ERO0zE7CxwDgydZzWPTUR_Zy4gyOwvm6PMbT4Wuy_SC8jD0o7Jyu0eXl8LulATDVpUg
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: Custard on August 26, 2024, 06:30:38 PM
Sell murph sell!
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: murphstahoe on August 26, 2024, 08:07:10 PM
https://thechaikinreport.com/wall-street-legend-who-called-the-priceline-collapse-in-2012-the-2020-crash-and-the-2022-bear-market-issues-a-dire-warning-for-americas-favorite-a-i-stocks/?cid=MKT751062&eid=MKT811920&utm_source=taboola&utm_medium=referral#tblciGiC6ERO0zE7CxwDgydZzWPTUR_Zy4gyOwvm6PMbT4Wuy_SC8jD0o7Jyu0eXl8LulATDVpUg

where are the 15 times he was really wrong?
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: Reacher on August 26, 2024, 08:29:06 PM
You could probably give me a show and I’d end up being right about as much as Jim Cramer. He’s good at TV, though.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: murphstahoe on February 26, 2025, 12:06:24 PM
Who's ready for the ballgame today?
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: ThePAMan on February 26, 2025, 12:17:20 PM
Who's ready for the ballgame today?

Are you passing along insider info?
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: murphstahoe on February 26, 2025, 12:27:39 PM
Are you passing along insider info?

buy a time machine and go back 5 years, buy Nvidia
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: murphstahoe on March 31, 2025, 04:35:07 PM
Yuge IPO pop for Newsmax - did Q97 get in?
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: ILLove1997 on March 31, 2025, 10:21:13 PM
Yuge IPO pop for Newsmax - did Q97 get in?

we were not underwriters on that deal unfortunately
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: murphstahoe on April 03, 2025, 03:44:28 PM
Checking my 401k

Yup - it's a 200.5k
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: Jobu on April 04, 2025, 09:24:37 AM
Checking my 401k

Yup - it's a 200.5k

I looked at mine this morning. That was fun.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: murphstahoe on April 04, 2025, 01:57:50 PM
fdshjkl
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: murphstahoe on April 04, 2025, 08:12:20 PM
Live feed from Q97 at work
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: Custard on April 05, 2025, 03:07:30 PM
(https://i.ibb.co/057BCFm/IMG-9824.jpg) (https://ibb.co/wtkJSwB)
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: murphstahoe on April 05, 2025, 05:01:04 PM
(https://i.ibb.co/057BCFm/IMG-9824.jpg) (https://ibb.co/wtkJSwB)

We aren't panicking because of the stock market going down. The stock market is going down because we are panicking about the tariffs. Just like we panicked about COVID, causing the market to go down in the year your graph conveniently excludes on the left side.

The thing is - when COVID was causing us to panic, Trump told us COVID would go away.
The tariffs are causing us to panic, and Trump is telling us that he's going to increase them more.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: Custard on April 05, 2025, 08:49:38 PM
We aren't panicking because of the stock market going down. The stock market is going down because we are panicking about the tariffs. Just like we panicked about COVID, causing the market to go down in the year your graph conveniently excludes on the left side.

The thing is - when COVID was causing us to panic, Trump told us COVID would go away.
The tariffs are causing us to panic, and Trump is telling us that he's going to increase them more.

It’s transitory!
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: murphstahoe on April 07, 2025, 12:06:58 PM
The emerging rumor was from a twitter account "Walter Bloomberg" - not affiliated with Bloomberg News

At 10:10 AM ET, rumors emerged that the White House was considering a "90-day tariff pause."

At 10:15 AM ET, CNBC reported that Trump is considering a 90-day pause on tariffs for ALL countries except for China.

By 10:18 AM ET, the S&P 500 had added over +$3 TRILLION in market cap from its low.

At 10:25 AM ET, reports emerged that the White House was "unaware" of Trump considering a 90-day pause.

At 10:26 AM ET, CNBC reports that the 90-day tariff pause headlines were incorrect.

At 10:34 AM ET, the White House officially called the tariff pause headlines "fake news."

By 10:40 AM ET, the S&P 500 erased -$2.5 TRILLION of market cap from its high, 22 minutes prior.

Never in history have we seen something like this
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: Jobu on April 07, 2025, 12:28:14 PM
So, why exactly am I hemorrhaging money out of my retirement account?

This is so much fun. Glad MAGA is owning the dems.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: Custard on April 07, 2025, 12:42:00 PM
So, why exactly am I hemorrhaging money out of my retirement account?

This is so much fun. Glad MAGA is owning the dems.

The administration been transparent about the whys and hows of this whole shakeup. People in the media have laid out the entire scenario. They hold pressers and release data and info constantly, but it’s almost like most of the legacy media makes it hard to find. Whether you believe them or not I guess is up to you.

I do believe the path we have been on is unsustainable and drastic measures needed to be taken to put us on a better course—if our entire economic strategy is to keep deficit spending and quantitative easing our 401ks won’t be worth anything eventually regardless.

If there was a more gentle way to do this they probably would have done it. Once things settle out the markets will be back.  Or maybe we are headed for another depression. 
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: alum74 on April 07, 2025, 12:53:01 PM
The emerging rumor was from a twitter account "Walter Bloomberg" - not affiliated with Bloomberg News

At 10:10 AM ET, rumors emerged that the White House was considering a "90-day tariff pause."

At 10:15 AM ET, CNBC reported that Trump is considering a 90-day pause on tariffs for ALL countries except for China.

By 10:18 AM ET, the S&P 500 had added over +$3 TRILLION in market cap from its low.

At 10:25 AM ET, reports emerged that the White House was "unaware" of Trump considering a 90-day pause.

At 10:26 AM ET, CNBC reports that the 90-day tariff pause headlines were incorrect.

At 10:34 AM ET, the White House officially called the tariff pause headlines "fake news."

By 10:40 AM ET, the S&P 500 erased -$2.5 TRILLION of market cap from its high, 22 minutes prior.

Never in history have we seen something like this

So the rumors of transient sanity have been greatly exaggerated.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: Somewhere in Mn on April 07, 2025, 01:29:55 PM
(https://i.ibb.co/ycbN8QWh/Screenshot-20250407-132721-Chrome.jpg) (https://ibb.co/Kp359rFN)
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: Jobu on April 07, 2025, 01:39:27 PM
All I know right now is I'm losing money. I don't like losing money. And certain things are going to be more expensive.

That's fucking great.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: murphstahoe on April 07, 2025, 01:43:04 PM
The administration been transparent about the whys and hows of this whole shakeup. People in the media have laid out the entire scenario. They hold pressers and release data and info constantly, but it’s almost like most of the legacy media makes it hard to find. Whether you believe them or not I guess is up to you.

I do believe the path we have been on is unsustainable and drastic measures needed to be taken to put us on a better course—if our entire economic strategy is to keep deficit spending and quantitative easing our 401ks won’t be worth anything eventually regardless.

If there was a more gentle way to do this they probably would have done it. Once things settle out the markets will be back.  Or maybe we are headed for another depression.

if your first statement were true, the market would have collapsed the day after the election.

Bill Ackman is running around "THiS iS NoT wHAt We VoTEd fOR".

Had Trump rolled out his little cardboard sign in October and said "This is what we are gonna do", he would have been abandoned by all of his big donors immediately, who would be yelling to the heavens to anyone who could listen that Trump's plan is to crater the stock market. But he didn't. He said "I will lower the price of eggs on day 1".

Lutnick is up there on TV talking about how we are gonna have millions of Americans putting screws into iPhones. I guess if Trump had said at one of his rallies "A lot of you are gonna be putting screws into iPhones - A LOT" - maybe the people at the rallies would think that would be a good thing. But - it's not.

The beauty of the US economy is that we can print many many millionaires who design iPhones and pay some people in China and Vietnam a tiny amount of money to put screws into the iPhones. For the Americans who don't have the mental capacity to learn Computer Science or Electrical Engineering, thanks to the people who do, there are a lot of very good jobs in Construction being created that cannot be offshored. And higher paying, much better jobs still exist in the Automotive sector, in large part because the lower value added parts of that sector are offshored.

I had a summer job in high school making hard drives. It was an awful job. Suit up into a bunny suit, then go into the lab and do a repetitive job for hours never even seeing another person's face or having a conversation. And that job was probably 10x as good as phone manufacturing. But if we try to upend the economy to get phone jobs here, what's really gonna happen is we fuck up Apple, and lose a lot of good jobs in construction and service sector supporting the people working at Apple.

The US economy has been pretty goddamn awesome for a very long time. Peaks and valleys? Every other country in the world would DIE to have our valleys. Now Trump is running a real time experiment on trying to fuck that up.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: murphstahoe on April 07, 2025, 01:44:58 PM
All I know right now is I'm losing money. I don't like losing money. And certain things are going to be more expensive.

That's fucking great.

If you voted for Trump you can put a big sticker on your forehead that says "I DID THAT"
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: Somewhere in Mn on April 07, 2025, 01:47:10 PM
S&P 500 INDEX
$5,074.27
+0.19(0.00%)

Refresh
As of Apr-07-20252:45:48 PM ET

NASDAQ 100 INDEX
$17,543.18
+145.489(+0.84%)

Refresh
As of Apr-07-20252:47:55 PM ET
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: Jobu on April 07, 2025, 01:50:00 PM
If you voted for Trump you can put a big sticker on your forehead that says "I DID THAT"

I voted for the meteor.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: ThePAMan on April 07, 2025, 02:24:43 PM
I don't recall the CHIPS Act causing worldwide economic stress.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: murphstahoe on April 07, 2025, 02:26:45 PM
S&P 500 INDEX
$5,074.27
+0.19(0.00%)

Refresh
As of Apr-07-20252:45:48 PM ET

NASDAQ 100 INDEX
$17,543.18
+145.489(+0.84%)

Refresh
As of Apr-07-20252:47:55 PM ET

None of your posts age well, but this one has receipts.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: Custard on April 07, 2025, 03:22:36 PM
Surface level analysis of this is disingenuous at best. The economy is way more than the DJI and the market could very easily bounce back to record highs once these things get ironed out. Sucks that roughly half the country is literally rooting for this strategy to fail and can’t see anything other than the stock market.

This clip helps explain what’s happening
(no one will click on it because it says Fox business) but you know most news outlets aren’t going to give anything other than “zomg stocks are down panic” the time of day.

https://www.foxbusiness.com/video/6371178281112
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: ThePAMan on April 07, 2025, 03:26:29 PM
You should DM that link to Dave Portnoy.  He seems to be a little upset with what is going on.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: Jobu on April 07, 2025, 03:33:33 PM
Surface level analysis of this is disingenuous at best. The economy is way more than the DJI and the market could very easily bounce back to record highs once these things get ironed out. Sucks that roughly half the country is literally rooting for this strategy to fail and can’t see anything other than the stock market.

This clip helps explain what’s happening
(no one will click on it because it says Fox business) but you know most news outlets aren’t going to give anything other than “zomg stocks are down panic” the time of day.

https://www.foxbusiness.com/video/6371178281112

I'm not rooting for anything to fail. I'm rooting for "not losing money."

This is fucking bullshit.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: ridingthegrange on April 07, 2025, 03:36:40 PM
You should DM that link to Dave Portnoy.  He seems to be a little upset with what is going on.

Are you saying Portnoy has a complaint? 
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: Jobu on April 07, 2025, 03:41:04 PM
And, I will say that if we had this kind of tank in the market under Biden, Custard would be shitting his pants, instead of saying, well gee, the market will correct itself, durrr.

Nah. This is fucked. Your guy is starting some shit that didn't need to be started. Period.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: Jobu on April 07, 2025, 03:41:50 PM
And, if you source fox anything, I'll tell you to go fuck yourself.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: murphstahoe on April 07, 2025, 03:42:58 PM
Surface level analysis of this is disingenuous at best. The economy is way more than the DJI and the market could very easily bounce back to record highs once these things get ironed out. Sucks that roughly half the country is literally rooting for this strategy to fail and can’t see anything other than the stock market.

This clip helps explain what’s happening
(no one will click on it because it says Fox business) but you know most news outlets aren’t going to give anything other than “zomg stocks are down panic” the time of day.

https://www.foxbusiness.com/video/6371178281112

NOBODY is "rooting" for this strategy to fail. I had to laugh at Kamala Harris the other night crowing "I don't want to say I told you so" - why on earth did you think you lost Kamala? Schadenfreude is an ugly look for a politician. If Trump's strategy fails, I might even lose my 9th digit! I'd be a 90 millonaire! And that's not even a thing! If you lose a huge chunk of your money, what good is it saying "nee ner nee ner I lost my money and it was your fault!"

We *KNOW* it's gonna fail. The Dow, or S&P isn't "the economy" but it is a huge chunk of the country's wealth. When people's wealth gets cut by 20-30%, they stop taking vacations, buying houses, going out to eat. That's what causes recessions - drops in consumer confidence. Companies whose stocks are down retrench rather than issuing new equity to expand and create more jobs. Add in that foreign travel to the US is getting nuked, so much for those tourist dollars (which by the way aren't included in Trump's so called trade deficits).

There's no "ironing out" going on. The only "ironing out" would be "ok, never mind, no tariffs". If I were our trading partners, I'd be like "fuck you not removing our tariff response because you are run by a drunken sailor and I don't trust you".
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: murphstahoe on April 07, 2025, 03:44:01 PM
I'm not rooting for anything to fail. I'm rooting for "not losing money."

This is fucking bullshit.

jobu the wise
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: murphstahoe on April 07, 2025, 03:45:30 PM
And, I will say that if we had this kind of tank in the market under Biden, Custard would be shitting his pants, instead of saying, well gee, the market will correct itself, durrr.

Nah. This is fucked. Your guy is starting some shit that didn't need to be started. Period.

There was a drop in the market in January 2022 and Custard did in fact shit his pants, in the Joe Biden thread.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: Custard on April 07, 2025, 03:46:22 PM
You should DM that link to Dave Portnoy.  He seems to be a little upset with what is going on.

Figures the nouveau rich would just assume the market always goes up and doesn’t realize what a buying opportunity is.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: Custard on April 07, 2025, 04:00:36 PM
NOBODY is "rooting" for this strategy to fail. I had to laugh at Kamala Harris the other night crowing "I don't want to say I told you so" - why on earth did you think you lost Kamala? Schadenfreude is an ugly look for a politician. If Trump's strategy fails, I might even lose my 9th digit! I'd be a 90 millonaire! And that's not even a thing! If you lose a huge chunk of your money, what good is it saying "nee ner nee ner I lost my money and it was your fault!"

We *KNOW* it's gonna fail. The Dow, or S&P isn't "the economy" but it is a huge chunk of the country's wealth. When people's wealth gets cut by 20-30%, they stop taking vacations, buying houses, going out to eat. That's what causes recessions - drops in consumer confidence. Companies whose stocks are down retrench rather than issuing new equity to expand and create more jobs. Add in that foreign travel to the US is getting nuked, so much for those tourist dollars (which by the way aren't included in Trump's so called trade deficits).

There's no "ironing out" going on. The only "ironing out" would be "ok, never mind, no tariffs". If I were our trading partners, I'd be like "fuck you not removing our tariff response because you are run by a drunken sailor and I don't trust you".

Trade deals are being reworked and things will stabilize. I would think successful guys like you all here could temporarily sacrifice a few percent of your worth (some of which you didn’t even have until the post-election market runup) to address the serious systemic issues that impact the financial future of the entire country. But sounds like you’d rather just keep pumping printed money into the market in perpetuity until we finally collapse under the weight of our own debt.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: alum74 on April 07, 2025, 04:05:24 PM
White House economic advisor Kevin Hassett gave an interview to Fox this morning and was asked if Trump would consider a pause on his tariffs for 90 days.  His response was something like “the president will do what he will do.”

Well done, Hassett.  Do you advise or just nod your head to whatever Trump does? 
It's pretty clear that Trump has surrounded himself with incompetent sycophants, none of whom are fit to hold the offices they're in.  They were chosen for their unquestioning subservience.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: murphstahoe on April 07, 2025, 04:06:20 PM
Trade deals are being reworked and things will stabilize. I would think successful guys like you all here could temporarily sacrifice a few percent of your worth (some of which you didn’t even have until the post-election market runup) to address the serious systemic issues that impact the financial future of the entire country. But sounds like you’d rather just keep pumping printed money into the market in perpetuity until we finally collapse under the weight of our own debt.

Tariffs were announced Wednesday, starting a decline on Thursday.
The S&P 500 closed at 5782 on Nov 5, before the election
The S&P 500 closed at 5690 on April 2, before the tariffs were announced.

I know you flunked alegbra but even in basic math you'd learn that 5690 is below 5782

For a "deal" to be "re-worked" there has to be a "deal" to start with. Trump just slapped dumb ass tariffs in place.

He's a fucking moron, you shitposting troll.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: murphstahoe on April 07, 2025, 04:07:31 PM

Well done, Hassett.  Do you advise or just nod your head to whatever Trump does? 
It's pretty clear that Trump has surrounded himself with incompetent sycophants, none of whom are fit to hold the offices they're in.  They were chosen for their unquestioning subservience.

the scary part is no matter how batshit he gets, removal by the 25th Amendment has to happen via a vote from the Cabinet, who were chosen for their own batshittiness
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: ILLove1997 on April 07, 2025, 04:07:54 PM
NOBODY is "rooting" for this strategy to fail. I had to laugh at Kamala Harris the other night crowing "I don't want to say I told you so" - why on earth did you think you lost Kamala? Schadenfreude is an ugly look for a politician. If Trump's strategy fails, I might even lose my 9th digit! I'd be a 90 millonaire! And that's not even a thing! If you lose a huge chunk of your money, what good is it saying "nee ner nee ner I lost my money and it was your fault!"

We *KNOW* it's gonna fail. The Dow, or S&P isn't "the economy" but it is a huge chunk of the country's wealth. When people's wealth gets cut by 20-30%, they stop taking vacations, buying houses, going out to eat. That's what causes recessions - drops in consumer confidence. Companies whose stocks are down retrench rather than issuing new equity to expand and create more jobs. Add in that foreign travel to the US is getting nuked, so much for those tourist dollars (which by the way aren't included in Trump's so called trade deficits).

There's no "ironing out" going on. The only "ironing out" would be "ok, never mind, no tariffs". If I were our trading partners, I'd be like "fuck you not removing our tariff response because you are run by a drunken sailor and I don't trust you".

The bond market is larger than the stock market and is doing fine.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: murphstahoe on April 07, 2025, 04:13:10 PM
The bond market is larger than the stock market and is doing fine.

yields are going up meaning bond prices are going down.

Which should be the opposite of what you see when people are selling stocks. Money is fleeing the stock market and who knows where it's landing.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: ILLove1997 on April 07, 2025, 04:15:42 PM
yields are going up meaning bond prices are going down.

Which should be the opposite of what you see when people are selling stocks. Money is fleeing the stock market and who knows where it's landing.

They are moving from long duration to short duration due to stagflation fears
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: murphstahoe on April 07, 2025, 04:16:54 PM
They are moving from long duration to short duration due to stagflation fears

Yields are up on every duration, from the 1 month to the 30 year
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: ThePAMan on April 07, 2025, 04:42:07 PM
Money is fleeing the stock market and who knows where it's landing.

Apparently nowhere.

https://www.wsj.com/finance/stocks/americans-are-sitting-on-a-cash-pile-as-stocks-reel-4b782b92

Of course Warren Buffet foresaw what was going to happen and started selling off right after the election.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: illinicalvin on April 07, 2025, 08:43:05 PM
the serious systemic issues that impact the financial future of the entire country.
Oh, are we ramping up antitrust enforcement and adopting Scandanavian tax rates?
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: Custard on April 07, 2025, 11:31:33 PM
Oh, are we ramping up antitrust enforcement and adopting Scandanavian tax rates?

Murph’s wet dream!
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: Custard on April 07, 2025, 11:41:43 PM
Tariffs were announced Wednesday, starting a decline on Thursday.
The S&P 500 closed at 5782 on Nov 5, before the election
The S&P 500 closed at 5690 on April 2, before the tariffs were announced.

I know you flunked alegbra but even in basic math you'd learn that 5690 is below 5782

For a "deal" to be "re-worked" there has to be a "deal" to start with. Trump just slapped dumb ass tariffs in place.

He's a fucking moron, you shitposting troll.

Gosh, Murph, why’d you pick the S&P? DJI didn’t fit the narrative? I mean it hasn’t been this damn low since August!

Best part is you just proved my point—It’s basically the same as it was on Election Day.

But it gets better:

What happened to it after Election Day?

It went up almost 6%, almost exactly what it’s down now. The money we just “lost” was what we made since he was elected.

Guess you also missed Netanyahu falling all over himself to balance the trade deficit with the US today. See how that works when you have all the leverage? Tempo must be appalled.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: Custard on April 08, 2025, 12:14:27 AM
Apparently nowhere.

https://www.wsj.com/finance/stocks/americans-are-sitting-on-a-cash-pile-as-stocks-reel-4b782b92

Of course Warren Buffet foresaw what was going to happen and started selling off right after the election.

Dude campaigns on massive tariffs, gets elected, institutes massive tariffs, and people are surprised there are disruptions to the markets when the tariffs hit? This is elementary school level shit here.

When the election swung this way, I bought a couple more guns, ammo, made sure I had 6 months of nonperishable food, lanterns, backup generator, fuel, etc. Doomsday prepping? Perhaps, just had a feeling that once Trump started implementing his agenda the left would do whatever it took to derail it. 

When tariff/border talk heated up, I shorted my positions in Tesla, Nvidia and fentanyl, went long on DeepSeek and precious metals (thanks infomercial guy!) and reinvested the gains into being a Bears fan again. For a while.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: ThePAMan on April 08, 2025, 07:26:08 AM
No wonder you won The Only Bracket Tournament That Matters!
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: Custard on April 08, 2025, 09:17:34 AM
No wonder you won The Only Bracket Tournament That Matters!

This level of prescience is a blessing and a curse!
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: Somewhere in Mn on April 08, 2025, 09:30:53 AM
Business Insider headline.

"Why stocks are jumping after 3 days of brutal losses"

Yesterday was not brutal.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: murphstahoe on April 08, 2025, 10:57:48 AM
Business Insider headline.

"Why stocks are jumping after 3 days of brutal losses"

Yesterday was not brutal.

The 3 day loss was brutal, and a big chunk of it was yesterday, and the close was not nearly as bad as the low. This was a sequence as bad as 1987

It starts to smell more and more like performance art.
Peter Navarro is the tariff architect.
Elon Musk is the golden boy of DOGE

Today Musk calls Navarro dumber than a sack of bricks? How's that gonna dovetail in the Trump orbit? His two front and center guys slinging mud at each other? I didn't sell jack shit because I figure the US Economy is too big a ship for even these dumbshits to sink, and that there was a fairly high percentage chance this was just a show in order to grift off front running the market with chaos.

If that's true, Musk is the dumbest patsy in the world. If they "come up with a deal!" on tariffs which basically results in not much actually changing, we'll all sail along except that Musk has done permanent damage to his brand, which will be hundreds of billions of real dollars in market cap for Tesla. Shit, now he's even done more damage by ripping on Trump's key appointee - now everyone will hate him!

Thing is - there is video of Trump in the 80's talking about how great tariffs are. So it's not like he never believed this shit and just decided to fuck up the market for a few days so his cronies can exploit it. Is someone pulling his strings, levering off his stupidity to front run a market crash, then organize what's effectively a fake deal that Trump will think is a huge win?

A lot of real people are collateral damage in all this. A lot of suppliers did in fact raise prices on goods based on presumed tariffs, and a lot of small businesses got fucked in the process, even if they do a "nevermind"

We live in the dumbest timeline.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: Chickengeorge on April 08, 2025, 11:28:14 AM
We live in the dumbest timeline.

Yup
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: alum74 on April 08, 2025, 12:04:16 PM
Business Insider headline.

"Why stocks are jumping after 3 days of brutal losses"

Yesterday was not brutal.


The markets may go positive again, but the US is now seen as a pariah in any trade alliances going forward, not to mention global security and intelligence sharing.

Also: https://x.com/AaronBlake/status/1909350206434324728
I don't think anyone knows what anyone else is doing up there. The very definition of a clusterfuck.
 

Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: ILLove1997 on April 08, 2025, 12:09:32 PM
The 3 day loss was brutal, and a big chunk of it was yesterday, and the close was not nearly as bad as the low. This was a sequence as bad as 1987

It starts to smell more and more like performance art.
Peter Navarro is the tariff architect.
Elon Musk is the golden boy of DOGE

Today Musk calls Navarro dumber than a sack of bricks? How's that gonna dovetail in the Trump orbit? His two front and center guys slinging mud at each other? I didn't sell jack shit because I figure the US Economy is too big a ship for even these dumbshits to sink, and that there was a fairly high percentage chance this was just a show in order to grift off front running the market with chaos.

If that's true, Musk is the dumbest patsy in the world. If they "come up with a deal!" on tariffs which basically results in not much actually changing, we'll all sail along except that Musk has done permanent damage to his brand, which will be hundreds of billions of real dollars in market cap for Tesla. Shit, now he's even done more damage by ripping on Trump's key appointee - now everyone will hate him!

Thing is - there is video of Trump in the 80's talking about how great tariffs are. So it's not like he never believed this shit and just decided to fuck up the market for a few days so his cronies can exploit it. Is someone pulling his strings, levering off his stupidity to front run a market crash, then organize what's effectively a fake deal that Trump will think is a huge win?

A lot of real people are collateral damage in all this. A lot of suppliers did in fact raise prices on goods based on presumed tariffs, and a lot of small businesses got fucked in the process, even if they do a "nevermind"

We live in the dumbest timeline.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LayOiPkvKBw
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: murphstahoe on April 08, 2025, 12:23:30 PM
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LayOiPkvKBw

In 96, we needed tariffs in some specific areas

Today - unless you want to quit your job and start putting tiny screws into iPhones, we don't.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: murphstahoe on April 08, 2025, 12:25:11 PM
Dude campaigns on massive tariffs, gets elected, institutes massive tariffs, and people are surprised there are disruptions to the markets when the tariffs hit? This is elementary school level shit here.

Trump voters can't hold three thoughts in their brain at the same time. He campaigned on eggs, transgender, and tariffs. The eggs and transgender filled the brains. And he didn't even fix those!
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: murphstahoe on April 08, 2025, 12:34:50 PM
When tariff/border talk heated up, I shorted my positions in Tesla, Nvidia and fentanyl, went long on DeepSeek and precious metals (thanks infomercial guy!) and reinvested the gains into being a Bears fan again. For a while.

So you believe the price of fentanyl will go lower. Presumably because Trump is doing such a shitty job reducing the flow of fentanyl that the market is flooded and the price has dropped.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: murphstahoe on April 08, 2025, 03:18:28 PM
It went up almost 6%, almost exactly what it’s down now. The money we just “lost” was what we made since he was elected.

Close today - lower than April 1, 2024. April Fools, indeed.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: alum74 on April 08, 2025, 05:34:21 PM
There will be lots of ups and downs like today responding to each piece of chaotic change.  But the long-term is not good, at all.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: murphstahoe on April 08, 2025, 05:59:48 PM
There will be lots of ups and downs like today responding to each piece of chaotic change.  But the long-term is not good, at all.

"Bargain hunters" jumped in today and moved them up, driven back by people who were like "OK, here's my chance to bail".
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: ThePAMan on April 08, 2025, 06:10:54 PM
And no gym shoe factories have opened and none will because they all know he is going to make a "deal" that won't make it worth it.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: murphstahoe on April 09, 2025, 10:32:37 AM
The bond market is larger than the stock market and is doing fine.

Posting a sticky note on the fridge - "Never hire Q97, he's clueless"
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: ILLove1997 on April 09, 2025, 11:11:23 AM
Posting a sticky note on the fridge - "Never hire Q97, he's clueless"

Interesting you seem to have forgot the increased bond volatility seen in 2022 and 2023
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: murphstahoe on April 09, 2025, 11:35:58 AM
Interesting you seem to have forgot the increased bond volatility seen in 2022 and 2023

This was a very easy call, and you got it wrong.

https://www.cnbc.com/2025/04/09/trump-tariffs-german-bonds-rise-as-us-treasury-yields-sell-off.html
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: murphstahoe on April 09, 2025, 11:38:22 AM
They are moving from long duration to short duration due to stagflation fears

"just a bit outside"

https://www.cnbc.com/2025/04/09/trump-tariffs-german-bonds-rise-as-us-treasury-yields-sell-off.html

The yield curve is showing that long term bonds are doing the worst, people who are staying in treasuries are moving to shorter durations because it's easier to get the hell out, not "stagflation". More worried the dollar is going to reduce it's status as the reserve
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: illiniray on April 09, 2025, 11:50:20 AM
Trump voters can't hold three thoughts in their brain at the same time. He campaigned on eggs, transgender, and tariffs. The eggs and transgender filled the brains. And he didn't even fix those!

I think immigration was a fairly large issue with a certain demographic as well.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: ILLove1997 on April 09, 2025, 12:28:36 PM
damn don't think I've seen the market rip like this before
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: murphstahoe on April 09, 2025, 12:37:36 PM
damn don't think I've seen the market rip like this before

Trump has indeed taking the front running grift to a new level. I had no loose cash or I would have gone all in as soon as China announced their retaliation, that seemed like a good enough bat signal that they needed to turn the ship around and cash in.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: ThePAMan on April 09, 2025, 12:43:10 PM
And be pauses tariffs, for 90 days, except for China.

We will get factories here or not?
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: murphstahoe on April 09, 2025, 12:53:56 PM
And be pauses tariffs, for 90 days, except for China.

We will get factories here or not?

you'll be screwing in little screws in no time
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: ThePAMan on April 09, 2025, 01:48:49 PM
you'll be screwing in little screws in no time

Awesome. Sounds easy
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: Somewhere in Mn on April 09, 2025, 02:22:47 PM
Someone might need to do a wellness check on Jobu.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: alum74 on April 09, 2025, 02:35:06 PM
And be pauses tariffs, for 90 days, except for China.

We will get factories here or not?

A 90-day timeout for a very naughty boy.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: Custard on April 09, 2025, 03:41:54 PM
Looks like I was AOTC once again, always trust content from the Custard.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: ThePAMan on April 09, 2025, 03:48:35 PM
Looks like I was AOTC once again, always trust content from the Custard.

LOL. Even the doofuses on Fox News apparently are not buying it.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: alum74 on April 09, 2025, 04:06:57 PM
Your laugh of the day:

"White House advisors claim the flip flop was always the strategy..."
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: ThePAMan on April 09, 2025, 04:28:01 PM
I don't feel as liberated as I did earlier.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: Jobu on April 09, 2025, 04:42:59 PM
Someone might need to do a wellness check on Jobu.

I'm doing fine, Mn. Thanks. How are you?
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: Custard on April 09, 2025, 04:51:19 PM
Your laugh of the day:

"White House advisors claim the flip flop was always the strategy..."

The strategy was obvious and when I explained it the other day I was roundly mocked, then exactly what I said would happen happened. 75 countries begging to negotiate trade deals with and then relief.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: murphstahoe on April 09, 2025, 04:58:26 PM
Your laugh of the day:

"White House advisors claim the flip flop was always the strategy..."

Who's laughing? The only reasoned reason for a deliberate flip flop was to front run the market, twice
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: murphstahoe on April 09, 2025, 05:04:54 PM
The strategy was obvious and when I explained it the other day I was roundly mocked, then exactly what I said would happen happened. 75 countries begging to negotiate trade deals with and then relief.

What strategy? To what end? What are we going to supposedly get from those other countries?

I have a huge buffer, so I just decided not to look at my portfolios, figuring that either he'd turn the grift or whatever around, or it would all go to hell in which case my dollars are worthless anyway. But I was still slowplaying my wife on some remodel work - requires cash, which requires stock sales. Do I want to take a 25% haircut because the remodel landed on Trump's tantrum? Nope.

But a lot of real people, had to look at it, and cut and run, because another 10-15% downturn would be disastrous. Or people who were preparing to sell equities for a purchase, or whose loan applications got FUBAR'd, or whose ordering inventory got screwed up. Small businesses had to stop taking orders, because they have no clue what their cost of goods was gonna be. I decided NOT to sell the stock and schedule the remodel. That contractor has a bid out that is now in flux. That's his cash flow, and jobs.

Above all else, stability is a premium here. Stability is why the US Economy is the largest in the world. There was no reason to go through all this gambit BEFORE negotiating whatever it is that Trump thinks he's negotiating. You're a deal maker? Go out and make a deal.

A lot of people got really fucked by this shenanigan.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: murphstahoe on April 09, 2025, 05:06:12 PM
The strategy was obvious and when I explained it the other day I was roundly mocked, then exactly what I said would happen happened. 75 countries begging to negotiate trade deals with and then relief.

Occam's razor. Trump thought they would cave. Instead the Chinese raised tariffs as did the EU. Then Trump caved.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: ThePAMan on April 09, 2025, 05:20:53 PM
Occam's razor. Trump thought they would cave. Instead the Chinese raised tariffs as did the EU. Then Trump caved.

Sure looks that way based on Fox News' reporting and the administration blaming the "media."
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: ThePAMan on April 09, 2025, 05:22:20 PM
Add Semafor into the mix

https://www.semafor.com/article/04/09/2025/behind-trumps-tariff-pause-a-quiet-republican-lobbying-campaign
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: ThePAMan on April 09, 2025, 05:26:09 PM
Oops...

https://news.sky.com/story/is-there-method-to-the-madness-amid-market-chaos-why-trump-would-have-you-believe-so-13345146

Trump and his treasury secretary, Scott Bessent, have made it a key policy priority to lower yields. For a while, it looked like the plan was working. As stock markets tumbled in response to Trump's tariffs agenda, investors ploughed their money into bonds instead.

However, Trump may have spoken too soon. On Monday, the markets had a change of heart and rapidly started selling government bonds. Thirty-year treasury yields hit 4.92% on Wednesday, their biggest three-day jump since 1982. That means government borrowing costs are rising - and not just in the US. The sell-off has spiralled to government bonds worldwide.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: Custard on April 09, 2025, 05:36:50 PM
It’s hilarious you guys think it was a flip flop or he caved. He got the exact response he wanted. The other countries panicked and agreed to negotiate. China needs our market more than we need their stuff and Xi is backed into a corner as the “guy who stands up to America.” We can wait China out on this more than they can wait us out. But of course we have liberals openly cheering for China and Europe at our expense because TDS.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: murphstahoe on April 09, 2025, 05:40:43 PM
It’s hilarious you guys think it was a flip flop or he caved. He got the exact response he wanted. The other countries panicked and agreed to negotiate. China needs our market more than we need their stuff and Xi is backed into a corner as the “guy who stands up to America.” We can wait China out on this more than they can wait us out. But of course we have liberals openly cheering for China and Europe at our expense because TDS.

Whatever. Xi could give two fucks about Trump.

No China - no Nvidia, no apple, no google, no microsoft, no amazon

That's over 20% of the S&P

Xi could give two fucks if Vance's peasants get fucked. He's not backed into anywhere.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: illiniray on April 09, 2025, 05:43:50 PM
The strategy was obvious and when I explained it the other day I was roundly mocked, then exactly what I said would happen happened. 75 countries begging to negotiate trade deals with and then relief.

Do you have a smidgen of evidence to support that? From here, it looks like the strategy failed miserably and Trump caved.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: ThePAMan on April 09, 2025, 05:48:37 PM
Do you have a smidgen of evidence to support that? From here, it looks like the strategy failed miserably and Trump caved.

He caved before the negotiations Custard is crowing about even started and not one shoe or cell phone plant built.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: ThePAMan on April 09, 2025, 05:49:30 PM
I, for one, appreciate someone who is committed to a bit though!
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: Custard on April 09, 2025, 06:22:58 PM
Do you have a smidgen of evidence to support that? From here, it looks like the strategy failed miserably and Trump caved.

The White House has these press conferences with this woman who explains this stuff all the time. The administration has explained it at length. But as I’ve pointed it out before, it’s nowhere to be found on most anti-Trump media outlets, just reports that it’s pure chaos and there is no strategy. The strategy was always to implement the tariffs, he campaigned on it. He has said if countries are willing to negotiate we’d negotiate. He slapped the tariffs on, shocked the market, then 75+ countries started begging to negotiate because they must have access to our consumer economy. Then Trump agreed to a pause with those countries. It’s really simple but this is clearly being suppressed because good luck finding what should be readily available info.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: Custard on April 09, 2025, 06:27:10 PM
https://x.com/roddmartin/status/1909715546330820868?s=46
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: murphstahoe on April 09, 2025, 06:38:45 PM
The White House has these press conferences with this woman who explains this stuff all the time.

OK. You got us.

While this does get amusing, there are some pretty smart people on this board, and that probably includes you when you aren't doing this minstrel act. Can we dispense of it.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: murphstahoe on April 09, 2025, 06:39:13 PM
I, for one, appreciate someone who is committed to a bit though!

Presumably you mean Custard?
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: murphstahoe on April 09, 2025, 06:41:48 PM
The strategy was always to implement the tariffs, he campaigned on it. He has said if countries are willing to negotiate we’d negotiate. He slapped the tariffs on, shocked the market, then 75+ countries started begging to negotiate because they must have access to our consumer economy.

That's about as good a strategy as going to the doctor to negotiate for a handicapped placard by showing up and cutting off your legs. You may very well, in fact, get the placard.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: illiniray on April 09, 2025, 06:53:25 PM
https://x.com/roddmartin/status/1909715546330820868?s=46

Trump cheerleaders aren't persuasive.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: illiniray on April 09, 2025, 07:02:43 PM
https://www.nytimes.com/2025/04/08/us/politics/trump-tariffs-global-trade-war.html?smid=nytcore-android-share
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: Custard on April 09, 2025, 07:13:03 PM
Trump cheerleaders aren't persuasive.

But yet you’re someone who bought the Steele Dossier lie, applauded lockdowns and still believes there was nothing Sleepy Joe could do about the border.

Can we trust Illiniray’s judgement? Is he capable of objectivity of any kind in regards to Trump? I’m unsure!
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: Custard on April 09, 2025, 07:19:57 PM
https://www.nytimes.com/2025/04/08/us/politics/trump-tariffs-global-trade-war.html?smid=nytcore-android-share

Guess we openly accept a piece from a publication that openly hates Trump, by a correspondent with 4 decades at said publication. I must have missed the part in his biography where he has any training or background in economics.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: Custard on April 09, 2025, 07:47:58 PM
From Ray’s article:

Quote
And officials have yet to describe the strategy for managing a global system of astounding complexity after the initial shock wears off, other than endless threats and negotiations between the leader of the world’s largest economy and everyone else.

Why the hell would they tip their hand leading up to negotiations? Just goes to show how anything can be spun to be negative. The whole point of creating the shock is to have everyone else on their heels and use the uncertainty to our advantage. But apparently half the country wants the administration to spell every move out for them ahead of time.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: illiniray on April 09, 2025, 07:52:44 PM
But yet you’re someone who bought the Steele Dossier lie, applauded lockdowns and still believes there was nothing Sleepy Joe could do about the border.

Can we trust Illiniray’s judgement? Is he capable of objectivity of any kind in regards to Trump? I’m unsure!

There was no Steele Dossier lie. It was always raw, unfiltered data. There was no Russia Hoax. No massive conspiracy to get Trump comparable to the Arkansas Project.

I never applauded lock downs. I wasn't always sure what a lock down was. There was less traffic, but otherwise lockdowns had little affect on my daily life. I guess it's because I don't hang out in bars, don't go to Church, and seldom eat out.

I did agree that closing smaller, poorly ventilated super spreader venues was probably a good idea. I supported masking too. Also, I am up to date on my Covid vaccines.

The border situation was / is  far more nuanced and difficult than Trumpsters will admit. In a perfect world, unlawful entry would be a civil offense like unlawful presence. We would also have adequate border agents, detention facilities, administrative law judges, and immigration courts.

The ultimate solution would be better conditions in shit hole countries so people don't want to come here unlawfully. Of course the Trumpists don't see global issues as our problem.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: illiniray on April 09, 2025, 08:07:42 PM
From Ray’s article:

Why the hell would they tip their hand leading up to negotiations? Just goes to show how anything can be spun to be negative. The whole point of creating the shock is to have everyone else on their heels and use the uncertainty to our advantage. But apparently half the country wants the administration to spell every move out for them ahead of time.


You appear to be viewing things through the lens of neo-mercantilism.
*********

"The professor was particularly critical of what he sees as Trump’s zero-sum economic worldview. “Trump fundamentally views the economy as a zero-sum game, that if somebody is going to do better, somebody has to do worse,” Feigenbaum explained.
https://kbindependent.org/2025/03/15/is-donald-trump-a-mercantilist-an-economist-explains/

"Trump is ‘using the rest of the world as a scapegoat’ for America’s problems, but it’s not going to work, says bestselling French economist
https://fortune.com/europe/2025/04/08/trump-world-scapegoat-america-economist-thomas-piketty/
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: alum74 on April 09, 2025, 08:10:50 PM
From Ray’s article:

Why the hell would they tip their hand leading up to negotiations? Just goes to show how anything can be spun to be negative. The whole point of creating the shock is to have everyone else on their heels and use the uncertainty to our advantage. But apparently half the country wants the administration to spell every move out for them ahead of time.

Trump didn't "outsmart" the world.  The best explanation I've found is that he was forced to pause the tariffs when Japan and others started to dump our bonds.
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/us-politics/trump-tariff-pause-china-fox-response-b2730535.html
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: illiniray on April 09, 2025, 08:14:35 PM
Gasp! He has the Japs on their heels. Right where we want them. He has aces up his sleeve. By golly!
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: murphstahoe on April 09, 2025, 08:17:30 PM
From Ray’s article:

Why the hell would they tip their hand leading up to negotiations? Just goes to show how anything can be spun to be negative. The whole point of creating the shock is to have everyone else on their heels and use the uncertainty to our advantage. But apparently half the country wants the administration to spell every move out for them ahead of time.

This isn't D-Day.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: Somewhere in Mn on April 09, 2025, 08:18:31 PM
Guess we openly accept a piece from a publication that openly hates Trump, by a correspondent with 4 decades at said publication. I must have missed the part in his biography where he has any training or background in economics.
Maybe the stuff below the date is his economic resume'

(https://i.ibb.co/hRTJcwgC/Screenshot-20250409-200934-Chrome.jpg) (https://ibb.co/vxM6hRcD)
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: murphstahoe on April 09, 2025, 08:21:18 PM
Maybe the stuff below the date is his economic resume'

(https://i.ibb.co/hRTJcwgC/Screenshot-20250409-200934-Chrome.jpg) (https://ibb.co/vxM6hRcD)

Can we see yours?
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: Somewhere in Mn on April 09, 2025, 08:45:53 PM
Custard is right. The strategy has been on line. Fentanyl raw materials come from China.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: Somewhere in Mn on April 09, 2025, 08:47:20 PM
I'm doing fine, Mn. Thanks. How are you?
I'm doing good too. Thanks. You seemed a little out of sorts the other day.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: murphstahoe on April 09, 2025, 09:11:36 PM
Custard is right. The strategy has been on line. Fentanyl raw materials come from China.

C22H28N2O,C6H8O7

Carbon, Hydrogen, Nitrogen, Oxygen. Available everywhere.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: Somewhere in Mn on April 10, 2025, 08:15:38 AM
There was no Steele Dossier lie. It was always raw, unfiltered data. There was no Russia Hoax. No massive conspiracy to get Trump comparable to the Arkansas Project.

In a perfect world, ......
B.S.
And the Arkansas Project didn't involve allegations that an opposition candidate for POTUS was a puppet of a foreign power that is also a nuclear power and foe.
The FBI knew in Jan 2017 that the Steele Dossier was bogus but that didn't stop them from fabrications to the FISA Court to enable spying on a President.
Yes, the Russians tried to interfere in the 2016 election. And every other election. There's no evidence that their minimal involvement had any impact on the 2016 election. Mueller did 8ndict 12 Russians who will never set foot in America to face charges. Oh boy.

The Arkansas Project didn't have the impact on US foreign relations or US domestic relations that the Clinton plan has had. Thanks Obama, Joe and the Intelligence Community who knew in July of 2016 what was going on. The FBI knew months later.
There were no secret communications between the Trump orbit and Alfa Bank.
There was no pee tape.
The FBI knew early on that Hunter's laptop was real.
People in the Biden administration and the media knew early that Biden was not fit to run the country.
When Schumer said the IC has 6 ways to Sunday he was telling the truth.

We don't live in a perfect world, and never will.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: ThePAMan on April 10, 2025, 10:48:03 AM
Wait.  So now the Soviets are foes? You slipped, Mn!
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: Custard on April 10, 2025, 12:05:38 PM
Trump didn't "outsmart" the world.  The best explanation I've found is that he was forced to pause the tariffs when Japan and others started to dump our bonds.
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/us-politics/trump-tariff-pause-china-fox-response-b2730535.html

How did you decide this was the “best explanation?” Because it confirmed your bias?
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: Custard on April 10, 2025, 12:08:21 PM
B.S.
And the Arkansas Project didn't involve allegations that an opposition candidate for POTUS was a puppet of a foreign power that is also a nuclear power and foe.
The FBI knew in Jan 2017 that the Steele Dossier was bogus but that didn't stop them from fabrications to the FISA Court to enable spying on a President.
Yes, the Russians tried to interfere in the 2016 election. And every other election. There's no evidence that their minimal involvement had any impact on the 2016 election. Mueller did 8ndict 12 Russians who will never set foot in America to face charges. Oh boy.

The Arkansas Project didn't have the impact on US foreign relations or US domestic relations that the Clinton plan has had. Thanks Obama, Joe and the Intelligence Community who knew in July of 2016 what was going on. The FBI knew months later.
There were no secret communications between the Trump orbit and Alfa Bank.
There was no pee tape.
The FBI knew early on that Hunter's laptop was real.
People in the Biden administration and the media knew early that Biden was not fit to run the country.
When Schumer said the IC has 6 ways to Sunday he was telling the truth.

We don't live in a perfect world, and never will.

🤭
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: alum74 on April 10, 2025, 12:21:23 PM
= How did you decide this was the “best explanation?” Because it confirmed your bias? =

Not everyone appreciates Trump's genius.  And you will spin it as a success no matter the outcome.  MAGA!
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: illiniray on April 10, 2025, 04:27:16 PM
The Steele Dossier was not bogus. It also was not verified fact. It was what it was. Raw, unverified data to be used as a starting point for further research.
B.S.

The FBI knew in Jan 2017 that the Steele Dossier was bogus
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: illiniray on April 10, 2025, 04:32:48 PM

 the Arkansas Project

https://encyclopediaofarkansas.net/entries/arkansas-project-5378/
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: illiniray on April 10, 2025, 07:22:26 PM
B.S.
And the Arkansas Project didn't involve allegations that an opposition candidate for POTUS was a puppet of a foreign power that is also a nuclear power and foe.
The FBI knew in Jan 2017 that the Steele Dossier was bogus but that didn't stop them from fabrications to the FISA Court to enable spying on a President.
Yes, the Russians tried to interfere in the 2016 election. And every other election. There's no evidence that their minimal involvement had any impact on the 2016 election. Mueller did 8ndict 12 Russians who will never set foot in America to face charges. Oh boy.

The Arkansas Project didn't have the impact on US foreign relations or US domestic relations that the Clinton plan has had. Thanks Obama, Joe and the Intelligence Community who knew in July of 2016 what was going on. The FBI knew months later.
There were no secret communications between the Trump orbit and Alfa Bank.
There was no pee tape.
The FBI knew early on that Hunter's laptop was real.
People in the Biden administration and the media knew early that Biden was not fit to run the country.
When Schumer said the IC has 6 ways to Sunday he was telling the truth.

We don't live in a perfect world, and never will.

This is way off topic, belongs in the Trump thread, not the Stocks thread. My apologies. Though Clinton, Obama, and Biden were better for the markets and the economy.

Of course Russians always try to interfere in our elections. Their goal is to undermine confidence in democracy and our electoral process.

In 2016, they hacked the DNC and leaked derogatory information in a way that selectively and effectively harmed HRC's campaign.

We all know the Steele tape was opposition research and was raw data, not verified fact, intended as astarting point, not an end.

There are plenty of circumstances and rumors connecting Trump to Russia. Fwiw multiple former KGB agents have said he was turned while in Moscow during the 1989s.

What the Arkansas Project exactly did or didn't do is moot. It was well-heeled, and remarkably successful. The Clinton's weren't accused back then of being foreign agents. They were labeled as quasi serial killers. Later on, Hillary was accused of selling our Uranium to Russia.

There was never any dispute over the authenticity of some or even most of the files on Hunter's hard drive. It appears copies were made available on line by Trump's allies. These files were corrupted so they could not fully verified and tampering would not be ruled in or out.

It's not clear when the FBI publicly revealed that they had authenticated the original laptop. That said, Joe Biden was cleared of any wrongdoing.

Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: ThePAMan on April 10, 2025, 07:32:54 PM
Joe was sleepy, incoherent, and incompetent, but was also somehow a diabolical criminal! Who knew?
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: Custard on April 10, 2025, 09:35:40 PM
Joe was sleepy, incoherent, and incompetent, but was also somehow a diabolical criminal! Who knew?

Who said he was a diabolical criminal?
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: ThePAMan on April 10, 2025, 10:39:28 PM
Who said he was a diabolical criminal?

Seriously? The Biden Crime Family?
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: illiniray on April 10, 2025, 11:41:17 PM
Who said he was a diabolical criminal?

I was told he is 'the Big Guy'
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: Somewhere in Mn on April 11, 2025, 06:10:18 AM
Seriously? The Biden Crime Family?
"Diabolical" may be giving him too much credit.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: ThePAMan on April 11, 2025, 07:22:57 AM
"Diabolical" may be giving him too much credit.

If you run a "crime family" don't you have to be diabolical? Or is that reserved just for presidents who engage in overt market manipulation?
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: Somewhere in Mn on April 11, 2025, 08:19:47 AM
If you run a "crime family" don't you have to be diabolical? Or is that reserved just for presidents who engage in overt market manipulation?
Just the latter, fer sure.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: ThePAMan on April 11, 2025, 10:18:31 AM
The Right's San Fran Nan

https://www.mediaite.com/news/marjorie-taylor-greene-scooped-up-tanking-stocks-and-made-a-profit-after-tariff-pause-report/
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: Jobu on April 11, 2025, 10:27:04 AM
The Right's San Fran Nan

https://www.mediaite.com/news/marjorie-taylor-greene-scooped-up-tanking-stocks-and-made-a-profit-after-tariff-pause-report/

Hell yeah she did. Trump takes care of his minions. To a point.

Now, if she gets nailed for insider trading, she's on her own.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: Somewhere in Mn on April 11, 2025, 10:36:24 AM
The small print. 👀

“I have signed a fiduciary agreement to allow my financial advisor to control my investments,” Greene said in a statement to the Associated Press when asked whether she made the stock buys herself. “All of my investments are reported with full transparency.”

There is no evidence Greene traded on nonpublic information,....."
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: Jobu on April 11, 2025, 10:43:26 AM
I didn't read the fucking article. I know she's not gonna get busted for anything. None of these people ever do.

Now, if it's an ordinary person like me doing that kind of shit, I'm in a federal prison.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: Somewhere in Mn on April 11, 2025, 10:49:25 AM
I didn't read the fucking article. I know she's not gonna get busted for anything. None of these people ever do.

Now, if it's an ordinary person like me doing that kind of shit, I'm in a federal prison.
I just looked at our accounts and, omg, we made a bunch of trades too. I didn't tell them to make any of them and they didn't ask me if any were ok.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: Jobu on April 11, 2025, 10:52:17 AM
I just looked at our accounts and, omg, we made a bunch of trades too. I didn't tell them to make any of them and they didn't ask me if any were ok.

Good luck with the feds. Hope you don't do much time. You probably won't get buttfucked, since you're old.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: Somewhere in Mn on April 11, 2025, 10:52:50 AM

Now, if it's an ordinary person like me ....
Ok  ;)
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: Jobu on April 11, 2025, 10:53:50 AM
Ok  ;)

Haha, good catch
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: ThePAMan on April 13, 2025, 01:59:08 PM
I'm sure this will go over well on Monday....

https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/commerce-secretary-lutnick-tariff-exemptions-electronics-temporary/story?id=120752319
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: alum74 on April 13, 2025, 02:39:07 PM
I'm sure this will go over well on Monday....

https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/commerce-secretary-lutnick-tariff-exemptions-electronics-temporary/story?id=120752319

Let's muddy the water a little bit more.  Our trading partners have never seen such competency.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: Somewhere in Mn on April 13, 2025, 02:48:58 PM
I'm sure this will go over well on Monday....

https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/commerce-secretary-lutnick-tariff-exemptions-electronics-temporary/story?id=120752319
Take a break. Order up some take-out Orange Chicken. Maybe ask for a double order of fortune cookies.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: Custard on April 13, 2025, 04:43:24 PM
Take a break. Order up some take-out Orange Chicken. Maybe ask for a double order of fortune cookies.

He can’t afford that on an attorney’s salary. Thanks Trump!
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: alum74 on April 13, 2025, 06:07:38 PM
Take a break. Order up some take-out Orange Chicken. Maybe ask for a double order of fortune cookies.

Don't worry, be happy!  Good advice for the Trump loyalty cult.

Meanwhile...
https://www.pymnts.com/consumer-insights/2025/consumer-spending-grows-shakier-amid-wave-of-tariffs/

https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.cbsnews.com/amp/news/consumer-sentiment-report-plunge-april-michigan-trump-tariffs/

Apparently many Americans don't appear to be getting the message that the pain will be brief and a new golden era will follow in short order.  The lack of gratitude for the sacrifices Trump is asking them to make for the promise of a better tomorrow is astounding.
.


Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: murphstahoe on April 16, 2025, 02:02:20 PM
truth
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: Custard on May 08, 2025, 07:26:20 AM
For a "deal" to be "re-worked" there has to be a "deal" to start with. Trump just slapped dumb ass tariffs in place.

He's a fucking moron, you shitposting troll.

Trade deal with the UK drops today. China’s top trade official is meeting with us in Switzerland this week. Now is the time to make your pivot to “these deals suck!”
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: murphstahoe on May 08, 2025, 10:07:20 AM
Trade deal with the UK drops today. China’s top trade official is meeting with us in Switzerland this week. Now is the time to make your pivot to “these deals suck!”

even if the deal was good, there was no reason to blow shit up for 2 months to get them.

A lot of small businesses will get nuked in this whole thing. They run on very tight time frames, inventory, and cash flow. The disruption to shipping from China has been worse than COVID. But that's ok, after they shut their business they can go on unemployment for a few years until the iPhone screwing factory opens.

Unless the whole point was to insider trade on the blowing up of shit.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: murphstahoe on May 08, 2025, 11:49:29 AM
Trade deal with the UK drops today. China’s top trade official is meeting with us in Switzerland this week. Now is the time to make your pivot to “these deals suck!”

actually a pretty good deal. The UK is a huge trading partner, 3% of US trade happens with the UK, but they had a massive 1% tariff on imported goods, Trump has gotten that knocked down to .75%

It's really quite impressive, frankly.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: ThePAMan on May 08, 2025, 12:03:22 PM
actually a pretty good deal. The UK is a huge trading partner, 3% of US trade happens with the UK, but they had a massive 1% tariff on imported goods, Trump has gotten that knocked down to .75%

It's really quite impressive, frankly.

They can buy all the fluoride we now won't be using. They need it.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: murphstahoe on May 08, 2025, 12:04:25 PM
They can buy all the fluoride we now won't be using. They need it.

win/win
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: alum74 on May 08, 2025, 12:32:37 PM
Trade deal with the UK drops today. China’s top trade official is meeting with us in Switzerland this week. Now is the time to make your pivot to “these deals suck!”

I thought Trump said a few weeks ago that trade talks with China were ongoing.  I guess not. Anyway, I'm fully prepared for an announcement of a "deal like nobody has ever seen". 
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: murphstahoe on May 08, 2025, 04:09:21 PM
Trade deal with the UK drops today. China’s top trade official is meeting with us in Switzerland this week. Now is the time to make your pivot to “these deals suck!”

Deal was tailor made for Custard - tariff on Rolls Royce cut to zero, now Custard can get his new car!
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: Custard on May 08, 2025, 07:46:05 PM
Deal was tailor made for Custard - tariff on Rolls Royce cut to zero, now Custard can get his new car!

Dammit I just bought an Armada 2 weeks ago and made my Rubicon a weekend Jeep.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: Reacher on May 09, 2025, 08:26:47 AM
Checking my 401k

Yup - it's a 200.5k

Seems light for an illionaire with a b.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: Chickengeorge on May 09, 2025, 08:52:44 AM
My 401k has finally returned to pre-tariff levels.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: Custard on May 09, 2025, 09:43:17 AM
Mine is up for the year surprisingly
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: Somewhere in Mn on May 09, 2025, 09:49:21 AM
Oh geez. The survivors of the April 2025 recession are out today.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: alum74 on May 09, 2025, 10:41:01 AM
https://www.cnbc.com/2025/05/09/trump-china-tariffs-trade-talks.html
It appears Trump is negotiating with himself.  You can see why the world leaders tremble, facing such a master negotiator. 

And “it’s up to Scott B.”  Trump’s setting him up like a clay pigeon at a trap shoot. 
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: murphstahoe on May 09, 2025, 10:57:03 AM
Mine is up for the year surprisingly

Figures that a commie like you would be heavily invested in European equities
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: murphstahoe on May 09, 2025, 10:58:42 AM
Dammit I just bought an Armada 2 weeks ago and made my Rubicon a weekend Jeep.

Guess you're as dumb as Trump. The tariff reduction wasn't on Rolls Royce cars, it was on Rolls Royce *engines*
Basically Boeing gave them a call and said "dude we can't build any more 737-Max planes to crash if we can't get the engines!"
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: alum74 on May 09, 2025, 12:40:04 PM
Guess you're as dumb as Trump. The tariff reduction wasn't on Rolls Royce cars, it was on Rolls Royce *engines*
Basically Boeing gave them a call and said "dude we can't build any more 737-Max planes to crash if we can't get the engines!"

I’ve seen the US-UK trade agreement being referred to as a “titanic nothingburger”.
https://www.cnn.com/2025/05/09/business/trumps-uk-trade-deal-nightcap

Plus, it apparently is a “concept of a deal”.  The specifics still need to be hammered out.   
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: murphstahoe on May 09, 2025, 01:42:22 PM
I’ve seen the US-UK trade agreement being referred to as a “titanic nothingburger”.
https://www.cnn.com/2025/05/09/business/trumps-uk-trade-deal-nightcap

Plus, it apparently is a “concept of a deal”.  The specifics still need to be hammered out.   


this is true, but I think this should be dealt with in the James Carville way - "way to go Donald!" knowing that it won't really change our current downward trajectory.

We are being led by some real dumbasses. Some Ted Cruz podcaster guy gets on CNN. They are discussing the concept of not extending the tax cuts for the wealthy, the deficit means we need more revenue. He says "The tariffs will raise all this revenue" and people say the tariffs are bullshit, and he says "wait for the trade deals to be done" and they say "the point of the this trade war is Trump raised the tariffs to get the other countries to make a deal to lower their tariffs and we'd lower ours back down, but if we do that, then there will be no tariff income..." and he says "oh but we will bring in all these jobs and those people will pay taxes" - current US unemployment rate is 4.2%, who are these people who are going to take these jobs?
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: Custard on May 10, 2025, 08:07:46 AM
I’ve seen the US-UK trade agreement being referred to as a “titanic nothingburger”.
https://www.cnn.com/2025/05/09/business/trumps-uk-trade-deal-nightcap

Plus, it apparently is a “concept of a deal”.  The specifics still need to be hammered out.   

This is the most predictable response ever. I even pointed out that you all were going to pivot from “they aren’t reworking deals” to “these deals suck” hoping that you’d come up with something more interesting.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: murphstahoe on May 10, 2025, 12:59:29 PM
This is the most predictable response ever. I even pointed out that you all were going to pivot from “they aren’t reworking deals” to “these deals suck” hoping that you’d come up with something more interesting.

Custard would have some ice cream, his kid asks for the ice cream, he says only if you do your homework, kid says no, custard says here is the ice cream and claim he's a "deal maker"
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: alum74 on May 10, 2025, 01:37:44 PM
This is the most predictable response ever. I even pointed out that you all were going to pivot from “they aren’t reworking deals” to “these deals suck” hoping that you’d come up with something more interesting.

"It's a big beautiful deal." 

"We have agreed to discuss things.  In several months or perhaps a year or two,, we may actually agree on the details."
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: murphstahoe on May 10, 2025, 01:55:30 PM
"It's a big beautiful deal." 

"We have agreed to discuss things.  In several months or perhaps a year or two,, we may actually agree on the details."

concepts of a deal
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: ThePAMan on May 12, 2025, 07:29:59 AM
China tariffs lowered for now. Should be good for stocks short term.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: Custard on May 12, 2025, 07:56:21 AM
But Murph told us China wouldn’t deal and would stick it to Trump
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: ThePAMan on May 12, 2025, 10:35:08 AM
But Murph told us China wouldn’t deal and would stick it to Trump

No deal has been struck and Apple and Nike have not announced that they are building factories here yet. Time will tell.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: murphstahoe on May 12, 2025, 10:37:12 AM
But Murph told us China wouldn’t deal and would stick it to Trump

They did in fact make a deal! In return for nothing, the US agreed to remove the gun the US pointed at their own head.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: ThePAMan on May 12, 2025, 10:38:15 AM
They are not counting it as a Trump win on Fox....

https://www.mediaite.com/news/trump-was-forced-to-back-off-fox-business-reporter-drops-blunt-analysis-of-trump-trade-cave/

"Capitulation Day" is another phrase being bandied about out there.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: alum74 on May 12, 2025, 10:38:37 AM
China tariffs lowered for now. Should be good for stocks short term.

Trump retreats and then acts like he had some kind of major victory, and his fans seem to buy it. 

All he’s proven to the world is that doing business with the U.S. is a recipe for instability.  And businesses, investors, supply chain participants, even consumers — will struggle to function properly when they have no idea what might come down the pike next.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: Somewhere in Mn on May 12, 2025, 11:43:51 AM
Tariffs, oh my.
Hopefully what won't come next is a cooked up virus, a war in eastern Europe or open borders.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: murphstahoe on May 12, 2025, 12:02:24 PM
Tariffs, oh my.
Hopefully what won't come next is a cooked up virus, a war in eastern Europe or open borders.

We already have the 2nd two, they are getting worse, and RFK Jr is working on the third. He was thinking Measles but he's now leaning towards Polio
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: ILLove1997 on May 12, 2025, 01:25:32 PM
Trump retreats and then acts like he had some kind of major victory, and his fans seem to buy it. 

All he’s proven to the world is that doing business with the U.S. is a recipe for instability.  And businesses, investors, supply chain participants, even consumers — will struggle to function properly when they have no idea what might come down the pike next.

Hows the weather in Tel Aviv?
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: murphstahoe on May 12, 2025, 01:28:56 PM
Hows the weather in Tel Aviv?

Another anti-semite in the tolerant right!

At least Trump gave me my 3rd comma back!
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: ThePAMan on May 12, 2025, 01:31:46 PM
Hows the weather in Tel Aviv?

Apparently 71 but feels like 76.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: murphstahoe on May 12, 2025, 01:32:38 PM
Apparently 71 but feels like 76.

Doesn't seem any different than '67
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: Custard on May 12, 2025, 02:22:53 PM
They did in fact make a deal! In return for nothing, the US agreed to remove the gun the US pointed at their own head.

Keep shifting those goalposts buddy.

Even the Chinese delegate is on the record saying they’re looking for ways to address trade imbalance as part of the broader deal. In the meantime we still have 30% tariff versus their 10%.

What gun was pointed to our head? If you’re arguing that we are dependent on China, then you’re making Trump’s point for him.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: Somewhere in Mn on May 12, 2025, 03:27:21 PM
Keep shifting those goalposts buddy.

Even the Chinese delegate is on the record saying they’re looking for ways to address trade imbalance as part of the broader deal. In the meantime we still have 30% tariff versus their 10%.

What gun was pointed to our head? If you’re arguing that we are dependent on China, then you’re making Trump’s point for him.
There were a couple of guns pointed at Trump's head. The 1st guy just missed.
For some odd reason it's not a big deal.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: illiniray on May 12, 2025, 03:40:08 PM
ftp://
Apparently 71 but feels like 76.

I often read threads backwards. I thought you were talking about someone's age.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: murphstahoe on May 12, 2025, 04:27:55 PM
There were a couple of guns pointed at Trump's head. The 1st guy just missed.
For some odd reason it's not a big deal.

No kidding. The guy who shot at Trump is headlining a new podcast on MSNBC!
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: murphstahoe on May 12, 2025, 04:30:20 PM
Keep shifting those goalposts buddy.

The goalposts were pretty simple - don't do something fucking stupid.
Trump did something fucking stupid.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: murphstahoe on May 12, 2025, 04:33:07 PM
Keep shifting those goalposts buddy.

Even the Chinese delegate is on the record saying they’re looking for ways to address trade imbalance as part of the broader deal. In the meantime we still have 30% tariff versus their 10%.

What gun was pointed to our head? If you’re arguing that we are dependent on China, then you’re making Trump’s point for him.

I have a buddy in Facebook's server group. They were considering the following.

Buy chips and systems from a certain very large semiconductor company from point of manufacture in Taiwain, build the servers in China, then ship them to India instead of the US and run the farms from Hyderabad. They would connect to your web browser or phone app in the US, but there is no tariff on AI workload queries, so by never moving the servers to the US, presto - tariff avoidance.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: Reacher on May 12, 2025, 09:41:55 PM
https://www.facebook.com/share/v/15ZGTvDR5X/?mibextid=wwXIfr
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: Custard on May 12, 2025, 10:24:57 PM
The goalposts were pretty simple - don't do something fucking stupid.
Trump did something fucking stupid.

“China won’t deal”

—China deals

“This isn’t a deal, Trump backed down”

—China reduced the tariffs 115% creating parity for the first time in ages. They dropped all non-tariff barriers which had basically created an embargo against many US goods. They also sent their safety minister to publicly address the fentanyl crisis and China’s role in stopping it.

Bet your algorithm forgot to mention those facts.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: Custard on May 12, 2025, 10:28:26 PM
Quote
President Trump said the trade talks achieved a "total reset" with China, calling it a very good deal, and added that he might speak to Chinese leader Xi Jinping at the end of the week.
The agreement lowered tariff levels far more than Wall Street expected, with one analyst, Dan Ives of Wedbush Securities, calling the deal a "best-case scenario” for investors. Goldman Sachs cut its U.S. recession odds to 35% from 45% and boosted its growth forecast.
U.S. stocks rallied, with the Nasdaq Composite climbing 4.3% and entering a new bull market by closing more than 20% above its April low. The Dow industrials jumped above where they closed on April 2, before Trump’s “Liberation Day” tariffs sent markets into a tailspin. The blue-chip index ended the day more than 1,100 points higher.

https://www.wsj.com/livecoverage/stock-market-today-tariffs-trade-war-05-12-2025
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: murphstahoe on May 12, 2025, 10:31:59 PM
“China won’t deal”

—China deals

“This isn’t a deal, Trump backed down”

—China reduced the tariffs 115% creating parity for the first time in ages. They dropped all non-tariff barriers which had basically created an embargo against many US goods. They also sent their safety minister to publicly address the fentanyl crisis and China’s role in stopping it.

Bet your algorithm forgot to mention those facts.

I award you no points, and may god have mercy on your soul
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: murphstahoe on May 12, 2025, 10:32:50 PM
President Trump said....

No need to read any further
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: ThePAMan on May 12, 2025, 10:39:23 PM
Isn't 30% to 10% pretty meaningless unless the volume of US goods the Chinese bring in greatly improves?

Ergo this is seen as a capitulation by the business media.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: Custard on May 12, 2025, 10:42:59 PM
Isn't 30% to 10% pretty meaningless unless the volume of US goods the Chinese bring in greatly improves?

Ergo this is seen as a capitulation by the business media.

China lowered other protectionist mechanisms besides tariffs.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: ThePAMan on May 12, 2025, 10:43:34 PM
The liberals at Bloomberg appear unimpressed....

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-05-12/xi-defiance-pays-off-as-trump-meets-most-chinese-trade-demands
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: ThePAMan on May 12, 2025, 10:44:01 PM
China lowered other protectionist mechanisms besides tariffs.

But not on minerals apparently.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: ThePAMan on May 12, 2025, 10:51:27 PM
Well, I guess the next, what 90 days, is the time to buy your 30 dolls for Christmas?
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: Custard on May 12, 2025, 11:47:03 PM
The liberals at Bloomberg appear unimpressed....

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-05-12/xi-defiance-pays-off-as-trump-meets-most-chinese-trade-demands

Wonder how much the CCP paid for that fluff piece? What demands could China possibly have when we essentially embargoed them from their largest market and all their shitty goods are sitting on docks? The United States won a big battle this week and you’re cheering on the Chinese.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: ThePAMan on May 13, 2025, 07:29:37 AM
Wonder how much the CCP paid for that fluff piece? What demands could China possibly have when we essentially embargoed them from their largest market and all their shitty goods are sitting on docks? The United States won a big battle this week and you’re cheering on the Chinese.

To the contrary,  I, along with, it appears, the business press and JP Morgan,  question what the point of this all was. None of the stated reasons and justifications are remotely true. It appears it was all for The Trump Crime Family to game the market. As Ben Shapiro said yesterday,  you can now just swap out "Hunter Biden" for "Don, Jr." in stories.  Shows some people are finally catching on.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: Custard on May 13, 2025, 08:20:25 AM
The point is that we have a framework for a trade deal that makes sense. More deals are coming. Markets have rallied close to April 2 levels. So now the only thing left for people to complain about is how we got here.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: Somewhere in Mn on May 13, 2025, 09:59:54 AM
I'm sure that's what it was.
Ben Shapiro ?
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: Somewhere in Mn on May 13, 2025, 10:05:31 AM
What was the point of open borders ?
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: murphstahoe on May 13, 2025, 10:08:45 AM
The point is that we have a framework for a trade deal that makes sense. More deals are coming. Markets have rallied close to April 2 levels. So now the only thing left for people to complain about is how we got here.

Concepts of a plan.

The trade deal that made sense? Pretty much exactly what was going on Jan 19. The Chinese aren't ripping us off. They are District 12. We are the Capitol. Did the Capitol think District 12 was ripping them off? Maybe they did - but all they did by going stupid and starting the hunger games was fuck up their own shit.

Even dumb ass shit like "they pirated the DVDs of some Disney movie!" just ends up making Disney more money by reiterating their branding so they can sell more tickets to theme parks and cruises to rich Chinese tourists.

But now a lot of small businesses in the US who operate on a razors edge got fucked up permanently for what? Trump's insider trading game.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: murphstahoe on May 13, 2025, 10:10:27 AM
What was the point of open borders ?

Do you even know what "open borders" means? You're like a broken fortune teller machine, repeatedly printing out slips with the various buzzwords from OAN and Newsmax, your heroes that are stealing you blind.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: murphstahoe on May 13, 2025, 10:12:26 AM
It appears it was all for The Trump Crime Family to game the market. As Ben Shapiro said yesterday,  you can now just swap out "Hunter Biden" for "Don, Jr." in stories.  Shows some people are finally catching on.

That guy is a human version of a weasel and his voice makes me cringe but I think I need to ask for a link to that because I'm sure I'd find it amusing.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: murphstahoe on May 13, 2025, 10:14:08 AM
I am very pleased to be back in the 3T club though. Hopefully Q97 was able to bail out of his short positions.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: alum74 on May 13, 2025, 10:28:30 AM
The point is that we have a framework for a trade deal that makes sense. More deals are coming. Markets have rallied close to April 2 levels. So now the only thing left for people to complain about is how we got here.

One month from “Liberation Day” (“90 Trade Deals in 90 Days”).  Still no “full and comprehensive” deals.  Just two frameworks to keep talking.  Plus, a series of flip-flops. 

A low bar indeed.  This is Trump’s version of kicking the can down the road. 
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: murphstahoe on May 13, 2025, 10:32:59 AM
One month from “Liberation Day” (“90 Trade Deals in 90 Days”).  Still no “full and comprehensive” deals.  Just two frameworks to keep talking.  Plus, a series of flip-flops. 

A low bar indeed.  This is Trump’s version of kicking the can down the road.

there never was a can. just market manipulation for profit. Now they just need to keep the lid on so the Mn's of the world have just enough Campbell's soup that they don't revolt. Can't spend money from the guillotine.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: illiniray on May 13, 2025, 02:44:28 PM
It's not just good,  it's mmm mmm good!
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: Custard on May 13, 2025, 02:55:23 PM
One month from “Liberation Day” (“90 Trade Deals in 90 Days”).  Still no “full and comprehensive” deals.  Just two frameworks to keep talking.  Plus, a series of flip-flops. 

A low bar indeed.  This is Trump’s version of kicking the can down the road.

But you told us it takes years to iron out trade deals. Pick a lane!
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: Custard on May 13, 2025, 02:58:28 PM
Do you even know what "open borders" means? You're like a broken fortune teller machine, repeatedly printing out slips with the various buzzwords from OAN and Newsmax, your heroes that are stealing you blind.

Millions of people—no one knows the actual number—poured in the last several years with minimal vetting. Many were supported in doing so by US taxpayer money. You just want to argue the semantics of “open border” because it’s literally the only argument you have. Now you’re pining to keep these people here at all costs because you’ve been duped into supporting deeply unpopular policy, which is why the Democrat approval rating is historically terrible.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: Custard on May 13, 2025, 03:00:51 PM
Concepts of a plan.

The trade deal that made sense? Pretty much exactly what was going on Jan 19. The Chinese aren't ripping us off. They are District 12. We are the Capitol. Did the Capitol think District 12 was ripping them off? Maybe they did - but all they did by going stupid and starting the hunger games was fuck up their own shit.

Even dumb ass shit like "they pirated the DVDs of some Disney movie!" just ends up making Disney more money by reiterating their branding so they can sell more tickets to theme parks and cruises to rich Chinese tourists.

But now a lot of small businesses in the US who operate on a razors edge got fucked up permanently for what? Trump's insider trading game.

There is basically no IP that China hasn’t stolen or attempted to steal from us, right down to the bulk of their military technology.

Not buying the alarmist rhetoric that cheap Chinese garbage sitting at the ports for a few weeks somehow permanently crippled a bunch of US businesses. Deflect deflect deflect
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: alum74 on May 13, 2025, 03:03:23 PM
But you told us it takes years to iron out trade deals. Pick a lane!

????  I said several months to 2-3 years. 
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: alum74 on May 13, 2025, 03:34:10 PM
When you’ve lost Rupert Murdoch's WSJ editorial board…
https://www.yahoo.com/news/wall-street-journal-hits-donald-100409654.html

“Rarely has an economic policy been repudiated as soundly, and as quickly, as President Trump’s Liberation Day tariffs—and by Mr. Trump’s own hand.  Witness the agreement Monday morning to scale back his punitive tariffs on China—his second major retreat in less than a week. This is a win for economic reality, and for American prosperity.”
--
“As with last week’s modest British agreement, the China deal is more surrender than Trump victory.”

“One tragedy of Mr. Trump’s shoot-America-in-the-foot-first approach is that he’s hurt his chances of rallying a united front of countries against Beijing’s mercantilism. By targeting allies with tariffs, Mr. Trump has eroded trust in America’s economic and political reliability.”
--
“If there’s a silver lining to this turmoil, it is that markets have forced Mr. Trump to back down from his fever dream that high tariff walls will usher in a new “golden age.”  The age didn’t last two months, and it was more leaden than golden.  White House aide Peter Navarro, the main architect with Mr. Trump of the Liberation Day fiasco, has been repudiated.”

“Mr. Trump will not want to admit it, but he started a trade war with Adam Smith and lost. He’s not the first President to learn that lesson.”
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: murphstahoe on May 13, 2025, 04:22:35 PM
There is basically no IP that China hasn’t stolen or attempted to steal from us, right down to the bulk of their military technology.

And that is why Nvidia, Apple, Facebook, Alphabet, Amazon, Netflix, are out of business, replaced by our chinese overlords.

Stay in your lane. What is it you do anyway? Purchasing for dollar general?
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: Custard on May 14, 2025, 09:15:38 AM
When you’ve lost Rupert Murdoch's WSJ editorial board…
https://www.yahoo.com/news/wall-street-journal-hits-donald-100409654.html

“Rarely has an economic policy been repudiated as soundly, and as quickly, as President Trump’s Liberation Day tariffs—and by Mr. Trump’s own hand.  Witness the agreement Monday morning to scale back his punitive tariffs on China—his second major retreat in less than a week. This is a win for economic reality, and for American prosperity.”
--
“As with last week’s modest British agreement, the China deal is more surrender than Trump victory.”

“One tragedy of Mr. Trump’s shoot-America-in-the-foot-first approach is that he’s hurt his chances of rallying a united front of countries against Beijing’s mercantilism. By targeting allies with tariffs, Mr. Trump has eroded trust in America’s economic and political reliability.”
--
“If there’s a silver lining to this turmoil, it is that markets have forced Mr. Trump to back down from his fever dream that high tariff walls will usher in a new “golden age.”  The age didn’t last two months, and it was more leaden than golden.  White House aide Peter Navarro, the main architect with Mr. Trump of the Liberation Day fiasco, has been repudiated.”

“Mr. Trump will not want to admit it, but he started a trade war with Adam Smith and lost. He’s not the first President to learn that lesson.”

Quote
But the possible “silver lining,” according to the Journal, is that markets have forced Trump “to back down from his fever dream that high tariff walls will usher in a new ‘golden age.’”

“The age didn’t last two months, and it was more leaden than golden,” it added.

China and the U.S. agreed, in the agreement announced Monday, to pause the majority of tariffs for 90 days.

American tariffs on Chinese imports will sink from 145% to 30%. Chinese tariffs on U.S. imports will reduce from 125% to 10%.


Completely contradictory info here from the same op-ed. OMG he capitulated! Did anyone really think the long term plan was to have 125% tariffs on China? We still have 30% and they have 10%. The tariff wall is still there.

The lengths people go to constantly spin everything into the most negative thing ever is so over the top ridiculous.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: Custard on May 14, 2025, 09:23:31 AM
And that is why Nvidia, Apple, Facebook, Alphabet, Amazon, Netflix, are out of business, replaced by our chinese overlords.

Stay in your lane. What is it you do anyway? Purchasing for dollar general?

Pretty cocky for a guy whose “leading AI” company completely got backdoored by a Chinese startup just a few months ago. You complained far louder about the temporary losses from the tariff announcements than you did about the $600 billion in valuation Nvidia lost in a single day.

It’s all fine and dandy that the leading tech companies are still here, where the money and talent to build them into superpowers existed years ago and didn’t really in China. Times have changed. Letting other countries steal our technology and run huge trade surpluses isn’t a good long term strategy. 

It’s becoming clearer and clearer that you are a CCP sympathizer.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: ThePAMan on May 14, 2025, 10:37:58 AM
Still waiting for all those factories to start operating on American soil due to the tariffs.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: alum74 on May 14, 2025, 11:04:56 AM

Completely contradictory info here from the same op-ed. OMG he capitulated! Did anyone really think the long term plan was to have 125% tariffs on China? We still have 30% and they have 10%. The tariff wall is still there.

The lengths people go to constantly spin everything into the most negative thing ever is so over the top ridiculous.

No. The WSJ editorial is pretty straightforward. The tariffs were a disaster from the beginning and Navarro is an effing idiot.   

I’m hearing from very reliable sources that Trump retreated when the Chinese offered him a hang glider. 


Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: murphstahoe on May 14, 2025, 12:12:27 PM
Pretty cocky for a guy whose “leading AI” company completely got backdoored by a Chinese startup just a few months ago. You complained far louder about the temporary losses from the tariff announcements than you did about the $600 billion in valuation Nvidia lost in a single day.

It’s all fine and dandy that the leading tech companies are still here, where the money and talent to build them into superpowers existed years ago and didn’t really in China. Times have changed. Letting other countries steal our technology and run huge trade surpluses isn’t a good long term strategy. 

It’s becoming clearer and clearer that you are a CCP sympathizer.

Guess I overestimated you. You are far too stupid to be a purchasing manager for Dollar General.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: murphstahoe on May 14, 2025, 12:14:13 PM
No. The WSJ editorial is pretty straightforward. The tariffs were a disaster from the beginning and Navarro is an effing idiot.   

I’m hearing from very reliable sources that Trump retreated when the Chinese offered him a hang glider.

No way would the Chinese offer him a hang glider. He'd kill himself - they need him alive.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: Custard on May 14, 2025, 12:30:50 PM
Still waiting for all those factories to start operating on American soil due to the tariffs.

Glad you are giving it more than 30 days. Announcements of investments and investment considerations have taken place, but are actively suppressed by anti-Trump media. At least the Nvidia CEO is smart enough to get on the Trump train, even if Murph isn’t!
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: murphstahoe on May 14, 2025, 12:42:34 PM
Glad you are giving it more than 30 days. Announcements of investments and investment considerations have taken place, but are actively suppressed by anti-Trump media. At least the Nvidia CEO is smart enough to get on the Trump train, even if Murph isn’t!

Tired: Foxconn flim flam
Wired: Saudi flim flam
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: murphstahoe on May 28, 2025, 03:02:09 PM
Tip off in 10...
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: ThePAMan on May 28, 2025, 03:43:15 PM
Tip off in 10...

Is it TACO time?
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: murphstahoe on May 28, 2025, 05:25:47 PM
Is it TACO time?

Looks like I get an extra TACO!
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: alum74 on May 28, 2025, 07:16:20 PM
Looks like I get an extra TACO!

No TACO, no TACO.  You're the TACO!!!
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: murphstahoe on May 28, 2025, 09:27:45 PM
yum!
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: murphstahoe on June 25, 2025, 03:48:01 PM
someone check on Q97... #STONKS
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: ILLove1997 on June 26, 2025, 01:24:24 AM
What?
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: Custard on June 26, 2025, 02:33:01 PM
Remember when Murph told us Trump destroyed the economy and the shelves were going to be empty and all the small businesses would be bankrupt?
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: murphstahoe on June 26, 2025, 02:46:29 PM
Remember when Murph told us Trump destroyed the economy and the shelves were going to be empty and all the small businesses would be bankrupt?

Still true. All the monies go to your AI overlords.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: ThePAMan on June 26, 2025, 03:52:57 PM
Remember when Murph told us Trump destroyed the economy and the shelves were going to be empty and all the small businesses would be bankrupt?

He TACO'd.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: alum74 on June 26, 2025, 04:40:33 PM
The tariff plan made no sense to begin with.  It's either revenue or or a negotiating tactic, bluff.  It can't be both and Trump trying to thread the needle isn't working.

Trump thought he held all the cards.  But turns out everyone else is playing poker while he's playing Pokemon.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: murphstahoe on June 26, 2025, 04:50:21 PM
The tariff plan made no sense to begin with.  It's either revenue or or a negotiating tactic, bluff.  It can't be both and Trump trying to thread the needle isn't working.

Trump thought he held all the cards.  But turns out everyone else is playing poker while he's playing Pokemon.

don't insult Pokemon TCG. He's playing 51 card pickup
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: Custard on June 27, 2025, 03:01:24 AM
The tariff plan made no sense to begin with.  It's either revenue or or a negotiating tactic, bluff.  It can't be both and Trump trying to thread the needle isn't working.

Trump thought he held all the cards.  But turns out everyone else is playing poker while he's playing Pokemon.

Tariffs are still in place, generating revenue. Inflation has stayed in check, shelves are stocked, oil prices are low, grocery prices are down, and interest rates are about to be lowered. We just bombed Iran back to the Stone Age and Europe is finally paying their fair share for the war in Ukraine. Tough pill to swallow I’m sure.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: illiniray on June 27, 2025, 05:17:51 AM
Tariffs are still in place, generating revenue. Inflation has stayed in check, shelves are stocked, oil prices are low, grocery prices are down, and interest rates are about to be lowered. We just bombed Iran back to the Stone Age and Europe is finally paying their fair share for the war in Ukraine. Tough pill to swallow I’m sure.

You forgot that Trump closed the southern border without changing the law..Enjoy drinking the Kool aid in your house of cards. Or was that intentionally funny?
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: ThePAMan on June 27, 2025, 06:03:14 AM
Tariffs are still in place, generating revenue. Inflation has stayed in check, shelves are stocked, oil prices are low, grocery prices are down, and interest rates are about to be lowered. We just bombed Iran back to the Stone Age and Europe is finally paying their fair share for the war in Ukraine. Tough pill to swallow I’m sure.

Sales are down... Consumer sentiment has been tanking.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: ThePAMan on June 27, 2025, 06:16:08 AM
Tariffs are apparently helping kill the housing construction industry, with the tip in by ICE
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: Somewhere in Mn on June 27, 2025, 06:33:56 AM
According to sources who choose to remain anonymous, experts say that most people survived  The Great Recession of April 1, 2025 and the 15 minutes of WW3 of June 22, 2025.

in other economic news, economists are awaiting an antipated performance update on the $2000 that Jobu has squirreled away for his retirement.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: illiniray on June 27, 2025, 09:20:34 AM
Sales are down... Consumer sentiment has been tanking.

But Iran has been bombed back to the stone age. Cage free eggs are only $7.99 a dozen.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: ThePAMan on June 27, 2025, 09:45:50 AM
But Iran has been bombed back to the stone age. Cage free eggs are only $7.99 a dozen.

And the President actually agreed that the Iranians could bomb a US base....
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: murphstahoe on June 27, 2025, 10:03:58 AM
According to sources who choose to remain anonymous, experts say that most people survived  The Great Recession of April 1, 2025 and the 15 minutes of WW3 of June 22, 2025.

in other economic news, economists are awaiting an antipated performance update on the $2000 that Jobu has squirreled away for his retirement.

I'm in Florida right now. You gotta be careful walking the streets or you'll get kidnapped by desperate home sellers.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: murphstahoe on June 27, 2025, 12:59:41 PM
Tariffs are still in place, generating revenue. Inflation has stayed in check, shelves are stocked, oil prices are low, grocery prices are down, and interest rates are about to be lowered. We just bombed Iran back to the Stone Age and Europe is finally paying their fair share for the war in Ukraine. Tough pill to swallow I’m sure.

On the surface of the U.S. economy, prices are higher. The latest inflation data out on Friday from the government showed a bigger uptick than forecast. On Thursday, Nike said it took a $1 billion hit due to tariffs and the fact that price increases have yet to be implemented.

Inside the U.S. economy, within distribution networks that manage inventory, there are fewer items overall due to the trade war, but more goods on which sticker prices are going up.

“We are now seeing multiple customers increasing pricing,” said Ryan Martin, president of distribution and fulfillment for ITS Logistics.

While price tags are placed on items at the manufacturer, Martin said over the past month his company has started re-ticketing “millions of units of products for many customers,” items ranging from apparel to consumer products in the warehouse being prepped for eventual delivery or immediate transport to stores.

Depending on the product, price increases range from 8%-15%, he said.

“This is creating additional inflation,” Martin said. It is happening in e-commerce as well, he said, though the price change is reflected online, not on the product.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: ThePAMan on June 27, 2025, 02:15:39 PM
https://www.cnbc.com/2025/06/27/pce-inflation-report-may-2025-.html

Core inflation rate rose to 2.7% in May, more than expected, Fed’s preferred gauge shows

Who voted for this?!
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: ThePAMan on June 27, 2025, 02:18:16 PM
Tempo would have voted for this, but he doesn't live in NY or Chicago

https://www.newsweek.com/zohran-mamdani-proposes-taxing-whiter-neighborhoods-nyc-2091452

https://www.thetimes.com/us/news-today/article/millionaires-flee-new-york-mamdani-zohran-qbrfnddx3
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: Jobu on June 27, 2025, 02:37:34 PM
Tempo would have voted for this, but he doesn't live in NY or Chicago

https://www.newsweek.com/zohran-mamdani-proposes-taxing-whiter-neighborhoods-nyc-2091452

https://www.thetimes.com/us/news-today/article/millionaires-flee-new-york-mamdani-zohran-qbrfnddx3

Tempo is cultured tho. He's different from me, who lives in a place that is predominantly white.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: ThePAMan on June 27, 2025, 02:49:52 PM
Tempo is cultured tho. He's different from me, who lives in a place that is predominantly white.

Tempo will complain you are taking unsolicited shots at him, but, damn, this is funny because its true!
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: ThePAMan on June 27, 2025, 09:03:51 PM
https://www.express.co.uk/news/uk/2074302/humiliation-donald-trump-us-trade

Humiliation for Donald Trump as US trade deficit increases to £70 billion despite tariffs
The U.S. trade deficit rose 11.1% to $96.6 billion (£70.4 billion) according to official data out this week.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: Somewhere in Mn on June 27, 2025, 09:18:57 PM
https://www.express.co.uk/news/uk/2074302/humiliation-donald-trump-us-trade

Humiliation for Donald Trump as US trade deficit increases to £70 billion despite tariffs
The U.S. trade deficit rose 11.1% to $96.6 billion (£70.4 billion) according to official data out this week.

"Nike also said it would reduce supply from China to the US market to bring down costs."
Good.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: ThePAMan on June 27, 2025, 09:22:48 PM
"Nike also said it would reduce supply from China to the US market to bring down costs."
Good.

So they will get it from Vietnam instead? That won't close the expanding trade deficit.....
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: Custard on June 27, 2025, 11:08:15 PM
It’s funny how all the tariff haters completely refuse to acknowledge that companies can pivot and change core behaviors. They do it all the time, for a lot of different reasons.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: Somewhere in Mn on June 28, 2025, 06:38:03 AM
So they will get it from Vietnam instead? That won't close the expanding trade deficit.....
"Nike soared 15.2% for the biggest gain in the market"
The fishwrap June 28, 2025
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: Somewhere in Mn on June 28, 2025, 07:12:11 AM
According to sources who choose to remain anonymous, experts say that most people survived  The Great Recession of April 1, 2025 and the 15 minutes of WW3 of June 22, 2025.

And most people survived The Constitutional Crisis of 2025, a Rwanda/Congo peace agreement and NATO countries deciding to ramp up their defense funding. 
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: illiniray on June 28, 2025, 07:40:01 AM
Inflation has been lower than expected. There are three reasons.

*Front loading: Importers stocked up on imports early, before tariffs kicked in.

*Stalling by absorbing the cost:  Importers are delaying passing on the cost of tariffs until the rates become clearer. They'd rather eat the cost for now than lose market share by increasing prices prematurely.

*Loophole leveraging. There are a couple or so ways to postpone the imposition of tariffs or even a temporary exemption.

There are some good articles that go into more detail. They might be too long for busy or slow readers.

Here is one: https://www.cbsnews.com/news/inflation-trump-tariffs/
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: illiniray on June 28, 2025, 07:59:30 AM
"The entire operation was precisely planned and brilliantly executed, even if it remains unclear whether the Iranian nuclear infrastructure was eradicated or just damaged."

https://www.cfr.org/expert-brief/trumps-iran-attack-was-impressive-airpower-has-its-limits

"United States President Donald Trump has declared a “victory for everybody” as the ceasefire that ended 12 days of fighting between Iran and Israel continues to hold, despite uncertainty over the effectiveness of US strikes on Iran’s nuclear sites."

https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2025/6/25/trump-insists-iran-nuclear-sites-destroyed-in-us-strikes-blasts-media

'US strikes failed to destroy Iran's nuclear sites, intelligence report says "

https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/trump-announces-israel-iran-ceasefire-2025-06-23/

Suffice to say, Iran was not bombed back to the stone age.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: Custard on June 28, 2025, 08:42:18 AM
Watched a short piece from Victor Davis Hanson last night about how Iran is hated the world over, but of the very few groups on earth that support them right now are American Democrats/Progressives.

It’s absolutely amazing how Trump has most of the left rabidly supporting deeply unpopular overall political positions, including openly wishcasting that the air strikes to limit Iran’s ability to build nuclear weapons weren’t successful.

No one here really knows how effective the strikes were, but there has definitely been an eagerness from the American left to embrace Iranian reports that the bombs didn’t do anything. These people won’t give Trump a W no matter what he does, even when it’s something that very clearly benefits America/the world.

These people are ideologically captured and cannot be trusted. Luckily they have the Democrat party so crippled that the midterms should be a walk in the park and the good guys can continue to rid our country (and the world) of the criminal scum that Obama3 let run rampant during his 4 year snooze.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: Somewhere in Mn on June 28, 2025, 08:42:42 AM
(https://i.ibb.co/4wJn39jg/Screenshot-20250628-083239-Chrome.jpg) (https://ibb.co/LDvXHbCh)
(https://i.ibb.co/dRRjVx6/Screenshot-20250628-083443-Chrome.jpg) (https://ibb.co/m33b2gt)
(https://i.ibb.co/TBMwLSdJ/Screenshot-20250628-083543-Chrome.jpg) (https://ibb.co/Fb4hVMCc)

And from Senator Bernie Moreno
"But, Laura, I'm going to give you some breaking news. One of the Democrats that you just had on your program was in the confidential briefing in the Skiff today and said to General Caine, the operation that you ran will go down in the annals of American history as the greatest military operation ever conducted. A Democrat said that today. What's sick, Laura, is that they then go on TV and --

INGRAHAM: Wow.

MORENO: -- do everything possible politically to undermine the administration. This is not what they believe. This is just pure political grotesque behavior. It infuriates me. Look, I'm just going to call it like it is. Maybe I'm breaking Senate protocol here. But, look, I can't stand these guys that say something in private and they go out publicly and contradict it only to score cheap political points which weakens this country and undermines our military.

INGRAHAM: So, Murphy or Blumenthal or Schumer or Mark Warner. Can you just tell was it one of those guys?

MORENO: Look, Laura, you're -- you got it."
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: Custard on June 28, 2025, 08:47:12 AM
(https://i.ibb.co/4wJn39jg/Screenshot-20250628-083239-Chrome.jpg) (https://ibb.co/LDvXHbCh)
(https://i.ibb.co/dRRjVx6/Screenshot-20250628-083443-Chrome.jpg) (https://ibb.co/m33b2gt)
(https://i.ibb.co/TBMwLSdJ/Screenshot-20250628-083543-Chrome.jpg) (https://ibb.co/Fb4hVMCc)

And from Senator Bernie Moreno
"But, Laura, I'm going to give you some breaking news. One of the Democrats that you just had on your program was in the confidential briefing in the Skiff today and said to General Caine, the operation that you ran will go down in the annals of American history as the greatest military operation ever conducted. A Democrat said that today. What's sick, Laura, is that they then go on TV and --

INGRAHAM: Wow.

MORENO: -- do everything possible politically to undermine the administration. This is not what they believe. This is just pure political grotesque behavior. It infuriates me. Look, I'm just going to call it like it is. Maybe I'm breaking Senate protocol here. But, look, I can't stand these guys that say something in private and they go out publicly and contradict it only to score cheap political points which weakens this country and undermines our military.

INGRAHAM: So, Murphy or Blumenthal or Schumer or Mark Warner. Can you just tell was it one of those guys?

MORENO: Look, Laura, you're -- you got it."


Bingo.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: Somewhere in Mn on June 28, 2025, 08:53:10 AM
Watched a short piece from Victor Davis Hanson last night about how Iran is hated the world over, but of the very few groups on earth that support them right now are American Democrats/Progressives.

It’s absolutely amazing how Trump has most of the left rabidly supporting deeply unpopular overall political positions, including openly wishcasting that the air strikes to limit Iran’s ability to build nuclear weapons weren’t successful.

No one here really knows how effective the strikes were, but there has definitely been an eagerness from the American left to embrace Iranian reports that the bombs didn’t do anything. These people won’t give Trump a W no matter what he does, even when it’s something that very clearly benefits America/the world.

These people are ideologically captured and cannot be trusted. Luckily they have the Democrat party so crippled that the midterms should be a walk in the park and the good guys can continue to rid our country (and the world) of the criminal scum that Obama3 let run rampant during his 4 year snooze.
Be careful what you think about the midterms.
The assessment was a preliminary and low-confidence leak. Hopefully, but it won't happen, they'll ID the leaker.
Nonetheless, Iran came to the peace table. I'm not sure they're doing that over a minor setback.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: Custard on June 28, 2025, 08:59:22 AM

Nonetheless, Iran came to the peace table. I'm not sure they're doing that over a minor setback.

Well and people act like we couldn’t just do it again if we wanted.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: Somewhere in Mn on June 28, 2025, 09:00:07 AM

Bingo.
Bango, bongo.
 ;D ;D ;D ;D


(https://i.ibb.co/VpcXh72B/Screenshot-20250628-085740-Chrome.jpg) (https://ibb.co/4gnBD6PN)
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: ThePAMan on June 28, 2025, 09:00:11 AM
"Nike soared 15.2% for the biggest gain in the market"
The fishwrap June 28, 2025

Good for Nike, Vietnam and Jobu's 401k, I guess. Not good for the deficit that appears to only matter when a Democrat is in charge.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: illiniray on June 28, 2025, 09:02:50 AM
Quote
"The entire operation was precisely planned and brilliantly executed, even if it remains unclear whether the Iranian nuclear infrastructure was eradicated or just damaged."

Reaction: why do you hate Trump?
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: Somewhere in Mn on June 28, 2025, 09:04:57 AM
Reaction: why do you hate Trump?
Why do you believe Bertrand ?
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: illiniray on June 28, 2025, 09:06:23 AM
Well and people act like we couldn’t just do it again if we wanted.

Bomb them back to the stone age again?

Are you going to call me an Iraq lover again? I have been called similar things in the past.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: ThePAMan on June 28, 2025, 09:06:44 AM

Bingo.

Politics. Never seen anyone act like this in the past 4 years when Jill was president. There is also no gambling in Casablanca. Shocking!
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: illiniray on June 28, 2025, 09:08:51 AM
Why do you believe Bertrand ?

Who is that? It appears to have been a well executed strike with uncertain results as of now.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: ThePAMan on June 28, 2025, 09:09:17 AM
Bango, bongo.
 ;D ;D ;D ;D


(https://i.ibb.co/VpcXh72B/Screenshot-20250628-085740-Chrome.jpg) (https://ibb.co/4gnBD6PN)

If Biden officials believed it was credible it must be wrong, since they were wrong on everything else I hear. So natural origin it is.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: ThePAMan on June 28, 2025, 09:10:46 AM
Bomb them back to the stone age again?

Are you going to call me an Iraq lover again? I have been called similar things in the past.

If you cry like Ketel Marte, Mn will be banned from all message boards.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: illiniray on June 28, 2025, 09:15:39 AM
From Steele, to Hunter, to Israel, to ...

Weird.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: Custard on June 28, 2025, 09:24:06 AM
Bomb them back to the stone age again?

Are you going to call me an Iraq lover again? I have been called similar things in the past.

I mean, if the first strikes actually weren’t as effective as they wanted, then yeah. If this can foster a lasting peace and nuclear deterrence, then it will be worth it even if it didn’t completely destroy the enrichment facilities. But I think we have all been around long enough to know this wasn’t so much about the facilities themselves so much as a show of power.

I probably won’t call you an Iraq lover, but you definitely were Biden’s Baghdad Bob!
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: illiniray on June 28, 2025, 09:28:27 AM
I mean, if the first strikes actually weren’t as effective as they wanted, then yeah. If this can foster a lasting peace and nuclear deterrence, then it will be worth it even if it didn’t completely destroy the enrichment facilities. But I think we have all been around long enough to know this wasn’t so much about the facilities themselves so much as a show of power.

I probably won’t call you an Iraq lover, but you definitely were Biden’s Baghdad Bob!

You seem to be projecting. You said Trump bombed Iraq back to the stone age. That made me choke on my coffee.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: Somewhere in Mn on June 28, 2025, 09:31:54 AM
From Steele, to Hunter, to Israel, to ...

Weird.
You forgot covid origin, and they're all from "Who is that ?"

As well as .....
"Exclusive: Early US intel assessment suggests strikes on Iran did not destroy nuclear sites, sources say
By Natasha Bertrand, Katie Bo Lillis and Zachary Cohen, CNN
"The assessment, which has not been previously reported, ........"
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: illiniray on June 28, 2025, 09:34:20 AM
From Steele, to Hunter, to Israel, to ...

Weird.

To be clear. The Steele dossier and the Hunter dossier had no effect at all on my thinking. They were noise that distracted from the actual important stuff.

Funny how Joe Biden was both a criminal master mind --- the big guy - and a cognitively impaired incompetent imbicile.

Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: Somewhere in Mn on June 28, 2025, 09:34:48 AM
If Biden officials believed it was credible .......
Just stop it !!!!!  ;D ;D
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: illiniray on June 28, 2025, 09:49:34 AM
How many times have Republicans been completely wrong?

Trump now says he would bomb Iran again if Intel indicates ...
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: Custard on June 28, 2025, 10:46:10 AM
From Steele, to Hunter, to Israel, to ...

Weird.

Point being Bertrand has made a living serving up platters of red meat disinformation for the better part of a decade. Odds are she has confirmed a few biases amongst some members here. She doesn’t even try to hide the fact that what she “reports” is straight up Democrat/State propaganda.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: ThePAMan on June 28, 2025, 11:27:16 AM
Funny how Joe Biden was both a criminal master mind --- the big guy - and a cognitively impaired incompetent imbicile.

It is amazing! Maybe he is Harvey Dent/2 Face?
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: ThePAMan on June 28, 2025, 11:28:49 AM
Just stop it !!!!!  ;D ;D

Must be wrong if Biden admin officials believed it! That damned pangolin actually started it all!
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: alum74 on June 28, 2025, 02:06:14 PM
https://www.cnbc.com/2025/06/27/pce-inflation-report-may-2025-.html

Core inflation rate rose to 2.7% in May, more than expected, Fed’s preferred gauge shows

Who voted for this?!

Also...
https://www.cnbc.com/amp/2025/06/27/deep-inside-economy-more-sticker-prices-start-to-go-up-due-to-tariffs.html
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: illiniray on June 28, 2025, 02:51:01 PM
Point being Bertrand has made a living serving up platters of red meat disinformation for the better part of a decade. Odds are she has confirmed a few biases amongst some members here. She doesn’t even try to hide the fact that what she “reports” is straight up Democrat/State propaganda.

Did she report that the Steele dossier and Hunter laptop were irrelevant sideshows? Or say that the Trump attack on Iran was militarily impressive, but the degree of  success is unknown? if so, perhaps she somehow influenced my views.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: Somewhere in Mn on June 28, 2025, 03:40:07 PM
You can continue to tell yourself, and others, that the dossier and the laptop were irrelevant sideshows but the fact of the matter is that they weren't.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: illiniray on June 28, 2025, 05:26:19 PM
You can continue to tell yourself, and others, that the dossier and the laptop were irrelevant sideshows but the fact of the matter is that they weren't.

For me, they were. That is a fact of the matter.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: illiniray on June 29, 2025, 06:27:55 AM
We know what CNN is about. Most people take their reporting with a few grains of salt. Same with MSNBC.

Mainstream.liberal, trending progressive (globalist, pro DEI, speech codes, identity politics, feminism, pro choice, pro nonbinary glbtq+ ...)

Same with NY Post, Mooney Times, and Fox News Channel. And that idiot podcaster dude. Mainstream conservative -- currently trending ultra nationalist, anti DEI, anti gay, prolife, theocratic, patriarchal toxic alpha malism

The failing New York Times and  WaPo center left, free market, free trade, free speech, social insurance, progressive tax

Forbes (maybe) National Review are traditional center right. -- free market, free trade, free speech ...

Reuters, CFR, Cato,  Al Jazeera and a few others have their unique perspectives.

The Jacobin.and Mother Jones are hard left. There are more like Truth Out, Alternet, Move On, the Intercept...

There are plenty of hard right sites Newsmax is a less toxic one.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: Reacher on June 29, 2025, 08:47:25 AM
Tempo would have voted for this, but he doesn't live in NY or Chicago

https://www.newsweek.com/zohran-mamdani-proposes-taxing-whiter-neighborhoods-nyc-2091452

https://www.thetimes.com/us/news-today/article/millionaires-flee-new-york-mamdani-zohran-qbrfnddx3

Tax whitey.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: Reacher on June 29, 2025, 08:54:46 AM
Tempo is cultured tho. He's different from me, who lives in a place that is predominantly white.

You should cry about how mean I am more. I never wanted to live in Itasca, or any suburb for that matter. My son’s mother, unfortunately did. Too bad I don’t have ThePAMan arrangement, and make every important decision with ZERO input from the wife!
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: ThePAMan on June 29, 2025, 10:26:58 AM
You should cry about how mean I am more. I never wanted to live in Itasca, or any suburb for that matter. My son’s mother, unfortunately did. Too bad I don’t have ThePAMan arrangement, and make every important decision with ZERO input from the wife!

Some guys are men and some are milquetoast, I guess. A few may even live unapologetically on stolen land in Irasca.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: ThePAMan on June 29, 2025, 10:27:33 AM
Tax whitey.

Be careful what you wish for.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: Reacher on June 29, 2025, 10:35:13 AM
Some guys are men and some are milquetoast, I guess. A few may even live unapologetically on stolen land in Irasca.

You’re fucking ridiculous
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: Custard on June 29, 2025, 07:20:14 PM
Thanks to the feminist movement and the pussification of American men, too many men let women run their lives these days. Women typically don’t respect a man that willingly turns the reins over to them, the men are miserable under their rule, and there’s really no way to go back after it’s happened. Kudos to ThePAMAN for having his house in order.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: Reacher on June 29, 2025, 07:38:54 PM
LOL
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: ILLove1997 on June 30, 2025, 12:08:03 AM
Thanks to the feminist movement and the pussification of American men, too many men let women run their lives these days. Women typically don’t respect a man that willingly turns the reins over to them, the men are miserable under their rule, and there’s really no way to go back after it’s happened. Kudos to ThePAMAN for having his house in order.

only a few of us left actually know
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: ThePAMan on June 30, 2025, 08:35:19 AM
Thanks to the feminist movement and the pussification of American men, too many men let women run their lives these days. Women typically don’t respect a man that willingly turns the reins over to them, the men are miserable under their rule, and there’s really no way to go back after it’s happened. Kudos to ThePAMAN for having his house in order.

This is why it will be 30 years of blissful marriage (with 10.years of dating added on) at the end of July.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: Chickengeorge on June 30, 2025, 08:37:42 AM
This is why it will be 30 years of blissful marriage (with 10.years of dating added on) at the end of July.

Congrats!
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: ThePAMan on June 30, 2025, 08:43:35 AM
Congrats!

Thanks.

Takes a lot of effort to be a dictator without letting them know you are a dictator!
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: Somewhere in Mn on June 30, 2025, 09:19:32 AM
This is why it will be 30 years of blissful marriage (with 10.years of dating added on) at the end of July.
That's sweet. 👩‍❤️‍👨
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: illiniray on June 30, 2025, 09:29:11 AM
(https://i.ibb.co/rfyjwZ2N/Screenshot-20250614-220942-2.png) (https://ibb.co/BKspCg2F)
foto's uploaden en delen (https://nl.imgbb.com/)
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: Somewhere in Mn on June 30, 2025, 09:33:58 AM
Boo hoo, Tom. 😭😭
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: Custard on June 30, 2025, 12:39:53 PM
This is why it will be 30 years of blissful marriage (with 10.years of dating added on) at the end of July.

Awesome!
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: Custard on June 30, 2025, 12:40:04 PM
Thanks.

Takes a lot of effort to be a dictator without letting them know you are a dictator!

This guy gets it.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: Jobu on June 30, 2025, 01:02:23 PM
This is why it will be 30 years of blissful marriage (with 10.years of dating added on) at the end of July.

Nice. We just celebrated 29.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: ThePAMan on June 30, 2025, 01:09:25 PM
Nice. We just celebrated 29.

Nice!
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: Chickengeorge on June 30, 2025, 02:33:04 PM
Nice. We just celebrated 29.

Congrats to you as well.

I made it 22 years, been divorced for a few now. I, evidently, was not that good of a dictator.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: ThePAMan on June 30, 2025, 03:38:58 PM
Congrats to you as well.

I made it 22 years, been divorced for a few now. I, evidently, was not that good of a dictator.

Always blame the subordinates!
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: Jobu on June 30, 2025, 03:49:35 PM
Maybe Chickengeorge's weiner stopped working good.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: Custard on July 01, 2025, 01:42:55 AM
Congrats also to Jobu. You know he’s getting sucked off on the regular, no surprise he knows how to keep his house in order!
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: murphstahoe on July 07, 2025, 10:12:57 AM
You can continue to tell yourself, and others, that the dossier and the laptop were irrelevant sideshows but the fact of the matter is that they weren't.

Thread police. What the fuck does this have to do with Stonks?
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: murphstahoe on July 07, 2025, 10:16:27 AM
only a few of us left actually know

uhh... Where is the "WTF is wrong with Women" thread? Who authored that thread?

Doesn't seem like you know very much - and since this is the STONKS thread, how's those covered calls (a.k.a. short position) going?
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: ILLove1997 on July 07, 2025, 11:29:25 AM
uhh... Where is the "WTF is wrong with Women" thread? Who authored that thread?

Doesn't seem like you know very much - and since this is the STONKS thread, how's those covered calls (a.k.a. short position) going?

Oh I know almost too much unfortunately

as for the covered calls on NVDA, I got the 200's so you should be rooting for me!
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: Reacher on July 07, 2025, 01:16:23 PM
Thread police. What the fuck does this have to do with Stonks?

Mn thought it was “socks” which is what he jerks off into when thinking about Hunter Biden and Covid.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: murphstahoe on July 08, 2025, 09:04:18 AM
Mn thought it was “socks” which is what he jerks off into when thinking about Hunter Biden and Covid.

Solid effort
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: murphstahoe on October 09, 2025, 12:21:19 PM
5000 invested in NVDA the day IlliniHQ2 started - now worth 150k

don't say I didn't warn ya
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: Reacher on April 21, 2026, 07:34:51 AM
Fascinating.

https://x.com/carm1nee/status/2046341116618850628?s=46&t=taZJ_d5ITWr6Hq3PUZDUiQ
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: Somewhere in Mn on April 21, 2026, 08:16:29 AM
Truly.

Posted yesterday from an eastern European based account, non-EU, and the Dow was at 16,500.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: murphstahoe on April 21, 2026, 09:06:08 AM
Truly.

Posted yesterday from an eastern European based account, non-EU, and the Dow was at 16,500.

It’s an actual clip from CNBC, how does the reposters provenance change that?

Come on. You know there is shady stuff going on, it’s part of your whole schtick on Nancy Pelosi bad.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: Custard on April 21, 2026, 09:23:26 AM
It was in 2013/14. So Trump’s fault, I’m guessing?

Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: Reacher on April 21, 2026, 09:42:11 AM
It’s an actual clip from CNBC, how does the reposters provenance change that?

Come on. You know there is shady stuff going on, it’s part of your whole schtick on Nancy Pelosi bad.

There's a reason I call him Three Card MNte.
Title: Re: Stonks
Post by: murphstahoe on April 21, 2026, 10:33:39 AM
It was in 2013/14. So Trump’s fault, I’m guessing?

We’re just awaiting Mr “Only I can fix it” to do the needful