IlliniHQ 2

General Category => The Deuce => Topic started by: Custard on January 20, 2024, 05:34:49 AM

Title: Economies
Post by: Custard on January 20, 2024, 05:34:49 AM
Covid thread got off topic and the WEF is happening so what better time to start a new thread?

https://x.com/aphysicist/status/1747868626948907325?s=20 (https://x.com/aphysicist/status/1747868626948907325?s=20)
Title: Re: Economies
Post by: ThePAMan on January 20, 2024, 09:33:50 AM
Stocks at their highest, consumer sentiment is up, inflation is lowering, Trump is about to get a Rudy Sized Defamation Judgment against him. Way to go Sleepy Joe! Too bad the election is not tomorrow.
Title: Re: Economies
Post by: ThePAMan on January 20, 2024, 11:03:14 AM
Gas 20 cents higher at the Champaign Costco than it was just last Sunday. Sleepy Joe sucks!
Title: Re: Economies
Post by: illiniray on January 20, 2024, 02:30:15 PM


https://x.com/aphysicist/status/1747868626948907325?s=20 (https://x.com/aphysicist/status/1747868626948907325?s=20)

That probably all sounds fine and dandy in theory. In the real world, there are no examples where and when laissez faire capitalism/ social darwinism / libertarianism has actually produced desirable results.

Social Democracies have issues, but that is the best system we have come up with.

Title: Re: Economies
Post by: ILLove1997 on January 20, 2024, 02:36:17 PM
That probably all sounds fine and dandy in theory. In the real world, there are no examples where and when laissez faire capitalism/ social darwinism / libertarianism has actually produced desirable results.

Social Democracies have issues, but that is the best system we have come up with.

I believe you mean homogeneous white social democracies.  Everything else is a disaster.
Title: Re: Economies
Post by: illiniray on January 20, 2024, 02:38:11 PM
I believe you mean homogeneous white social democracies.  Everything else is a disaster.

Can't have any lazy black people. /s
Title: Re: Economies
Post by: illiniray on January 20, 2024, 02:48:23 PM
Like developing The COVID!

I was thinking more along the lines of the tva, interstate highways, the Internet,  funding medical research ...
Title: Re: Economies
Post by: ThePAMan on January 21, 2024, 02:00:57 AM
I was thinking more along the lines of the tva, interstate highways, the Internet,  funding medical research ...

I knew you were not thinking of The COVID.
Title: Re: Economies
Post by: illiniray on January 21, 2024, 02:06:58 AM
I knew you were not thinking of The COVID.

I knew you knew that and know you know I knew you knew that.
Title: Re: Economies
Post by: murphstahoe on January 22, 2024, 04:07:08 PM
Gas 20 cents higher at the Champaign Costco than it was just last Sunday. Sleepy Joe sucks!

Be a patriot and protest the gas tax by not buying gas!
Title: Re: Economies
Post by: ThePAMan on January 22, 2024, 04:10:13 PM
Be a patriot and protest the gas tax by not buying gas!

I was going to dump it in a nearby lake while dressed as Chief Illinkwek,  but didn't want to pollute the lake.
Title: Re: Economies
Post by: murphstahoe on January 22, 2024, 04:12:18 PM
I was going to dump it in a nearby lake while dressed as Chief Illinkwek,  but didn't want to pollute the lake.

Now we know you aren't a patriot.
Title: Re: Economies
Post by: Reacher on January 24, 2024, 12:35:49 PM
Thread title sounds like a Rush album.
Title: Re: Economies
Post by: ThePAMan on January 24, 2024, 12:47:09 PM
Thread title sounds like a Rush album.

Good one, Tempo. I laughed.
Title: Re: Economies
Post by: Jobu on January 24, 2024, 12:56:05 PM
In the high school halls...
In the shopping malls...
Title: Re: Economies
Post by: ThePAMan on January 24, 2024, 01:01:36 PM
In the high school halls...
In the shopping malls...

Be cool or be cast out
Title: Re: Economies
Post by: Custard on January 24, 2024, 10:14:04 PM
Watched “I Love You Man” the other night for the first time in a long while. Good stuff.
Title: Re: Economies
Post by: ThePAMan on January 25, 2024, 11:24:10 AM
https://www.cnbc.com/2024/01/25/gdp-q4-2023-the-us-economy-grew-at-a-3point3percent-pace-in-the-fourth-quarter.html
Title: Re: Economies
Post by: alum74 on January 25, 2024, 12:58:03 PM
https://www.cnbc.com/2024/01/25/gdp-q4-2023-the-us-economy-grew-at-a-3point3percent-pace-in-the-fourth-quarter.html

"It may be booming, but a recession could be right around the corner, you just never know." - NYT
Title: Re: Economies
Post by: ThePAMan on January 25, 2024, 02:23:26 PM
"It may be booming, but a recession could be right around the corner, you just never know." - NYT

"It may be booming, but it still hurts Biden because Democrats are in disarray." - NYT
Title: Re: Economies
Post by: Jobu on January 25, 2024, 02:32:44 PM
In the basement bars...
In the backs of cars...
Title: Re: Economies
Post by: murphstahoe on January 25, 2024, 05:21:19 PM
In the basement bars...
In the backs of cars...

We always knew you were a Canadian mole. Probably here illegally
Title: Re: Economies
Post by: Judge Judy on January 25, 2024, 06:49:52 PM
We always knew you were a Canadian mole. Probably here illegally

There’s nothing wrong with that, right?!
Title: Re: Economies
Post by: Jobu on January 25, 2024, 06:50:27 PM
We always knew you were a Canadian mole. Probably here illegally

Yeah, I’m definitely Canadian. Lol
Title: Re: Economies
Post by: Judge Judy on January 25, 2024, 06:51:32 PM
Yeah, I’m definitely Canadian. Lol

He’s a bitch, so it’s not important what that bitch thinks…
Title: Re: Economies
Post by: murphstahoe on January 25, 2024, 08:14:37 PM
There’s nothing wrong with that, right?!

True. We're cool with open borders as long as it's the Northern Border
Title: Re: Economies
Post by: ILLove1997 on January 25, 2024, 09:42:16 PM
https://www.cnbc.com/2024/01/25/gdp-q4-2023-the-us-economy-grew-at-a-3point3percent-pace-in-the-fourth-quarter.html

It's only taken 2 trillion of deficit spending to get that, nice!
Title: Re: Economies
Post by: ThePAMan on January 26, 2024, 07:27:54 AM
It's only taken 2 trillion of deficit spending to get that, nice!

We were told deficits don't matter though.
Title: Re: Economies
Post by: Custard on January 26, 2024, 11:08:34 AM
Any time I’ve ever brought up deficit spending on the HQ the Democrats have always told me it’s ok
Title: Re: Economies
Post by: ThePAMan on January 26, 2024, 11:20:27 AM
Any time I’ve ever brought up deficit spending on the HQ the Democrats have always told me it’s ok

I take my lead from Dick Cheney on deficits and shooting friends while hunting.
Title: Re: Economies
Post by: ILLove1997 on January 26, 2024, 11:39:37 AM
Any time I’ve ever brought up deficit spending on the HQ the Democrats have always told me it’s ok

Dick Cheney said "deficits don't matter"

but yeah... I wonder who told dick to say that  :-X
Title: Re: Economies
Post by: Judge Judy on January 26, 2024, 11:48:27 AM
Dick Cheney said "deficits don't matter"

but yeah... I wonder who told dick to say that  :-X

Probably the same people paying for Nikki Haley…
Title: Re: Economies
Post by: alum74 on January 26, 2024, 12:51:57 PM
Any time I’ve ever brought up deficit spending on the HQ the Democrats have always told me it’s ok

Obviously we need to cut more taxes on transnational corporations and uber-wealthy individuals to address the problem. 
Title: Re: Economies
Post by: ThePAMan on January 26, 2024, 12:54:23 PM
Probably the same people paying for Nikki Haley…

Republicans?
Title: Re: Economies
Post by: Judge Judy on January 26, 2024, 12:57:26 PM
Republicans?

Oh boy…
Title: Re: Economies
Post by: ThePAMan on January 26, 2024, 01:40:56 PM
Oh boy…

If not, then her donors dont care about the threat to be blacklisted by the MAGAs.
Title: Re: Economies
Post by: Judge Judy on January 26, 2024, 01:57:47 PM
If not, then her donors dont care about the threat to be blacklisted by the MAGAs.

The DNC basically just threw her a big party/fundraiser at a prestigious donors house. She’s part of the political swamp/cesspool…
Title: Re: Economies
Post by: ThePAMan on January 26, 2024, 02:01:43 PM
The DNC basically just threw her a big party/fundraiser at a prestigious donors house. She’s part of the political swamp/cesspool…

I'm sure the DNC basically did that since Biden wants to run against Trump. DNC must be playing the same 4 D Chess that the DIA is playing with TSJ.
Title: Re: Economies
Post by: Judge Judy on January 26, 2024, 02:06:37 PM
I'm sure the DNC basically did that since Biden wants to run against Trump. DNC must be playing the same 4 D Chess that the DIA is playing with TSJ.

I’d be shocked if Biden is the candidate. Guy can’t even talk in complete thoughts/sentences. It appears the Democrats are positioning for Haley and wanting to back her even though she’s a “Republican.” If somehow they can get Trump off the ballot, they will back her even if Biden is the Democratic nominee.
Title: Re: Economies
Post by: murphstahoe on January 26, 2024, 02:19:21 PM
I’d be shocked if Biden is the candidate. Guy can’t even talk in complete thoughts/sentences. It appears the Democrats are positioning for Haley and wanting to back her even though she’s a “Republican.” If somehow they can get Trump off the ballot, they will back her even if Biden is the Democratic nominee.

Of course the Democrats want Haley - she refused national guard troops on Jan 6
Title: Re: Economies
Post by: illiniray on January 26, 2024, 03:16:43 PM
Any time I’ve ever brought up deficit spending on the HQ the Democrats have always told me it’s ok

Which ones?

btw: Bill Clinton actually ran a surplus. Obama inherited the Great Recession. Biden inherited the Pandemic.

Trump blew up the deficit before the pandemic.

Title: Re: Economies
Post by: alum74 on January 26, 2024, 03:46:55 PM
I’d be shocked if Biden is the candidate. Guy can’t even talk in complete thoughts/sentences. It appears the Democrats are positioning for Haley and wanting to back her even though she’s a “Republican.” If somehow they can get Trump off the ballot, they will back her even if Biden is the Democratic nominee.

Oh crap!  The secret plan has been revealed.
Title: Re: Economies
Post by: Judge Judy on January 26, 2024, 04:11:08 PM
Oh crap!  The secret plan has been revealed.

Yeah, not much of a secret.
Title: Re: Economies
Post by: ThePAMan on January 26, 2024, 04:51:04 PM
Judge Judy is on to us, Alum!
Title: Re: Economies
Post by: illiniray on January 27, 2024, 02:19:24 AM
I’d be shocked if Biden is the candidate. Guy can’t even talk in complete thoughts/sentences. “


(https://i.ibb.co/WyWXNZ9/Screenshot-20240110-235329-2.png) (https://ibb.co/VSWG0Ry)
Title: Re: Economies
Post by: Custard on January 27, 2024, 12:17:31 PM
Whatabout
Title: Re: Economies
Post by: illiniray on January 27, 2024, 12:48:47 PM
Whatabout

That is valid when you're being inconsistent. You want an articulate President, Trump is not an option.
Title: Re: Economies
Post by: Custard on January 27, 2024, 01:09:34 PM
Did JJ say he wants Trump to be president? I may have missed it.
Title: Re: Economies
Post by: Judge Judy on January 27, 2024, 01:17:52 PM
That is valid when you're being inconsistent. You want an articulate President, Trump is not an option.

What Custard said. Did I miss something, or is your TDS kicking in?!
Title: Re: Economies
Post by: illiniray on January 27, 2024, 01:44:21 PM
Right now, there are two leading candidates likely to be on the ballot. One stutters, the other is incoherent.
Title: Re: Economies
Post by: Judge Judy on January 27, 2024, 01:51:14 PM
Right now, there are two leading candidates likely to be on the ballot. One stutters, the other is incoherent.

LOL

Title: Re: Economies
Post by: Custard on February 02, 2024, 08:51:13 AM
It's only taken 2 trillion of deficit spending to get that, nice!

We have a guest speaker on our morning leadership call for work…he’s an economist and for some reason he thinks deficit spending and real inflation numbers are related and are actually an issue; he made it abundantly clear that it’s not a politics debate and that element needs to be set aside to have a reasonable discussion.

I still think one of my all time favorite HQ2 takes is that printing trillions of dollars and pumping them into the economy didn’t cause any inflation.
Title: Re: Economies
Post by: No one in Mn on February 02, 2024, 09:17:27 AM
We have a guest speaker on our morning leadership call for work…he’s an economist and for some reason he thinks deficit spending and real inflation numbers are related and are actually an issue; he made it abundantly clear that it’s not a politics debate and that element needs to be set aside to have a reasonable discussion.

I still think one of my all time favorite HQ2 takes is that printing trillions of dollars and pumping them into the economy didn’t cause any inflation.
InFlaTiON wAS TrANsITorY
Title: Re: Economies
Post by: murphstahoe on February 02, 2024, 10:55:23 AM
We have a guest speaker on our morning leadership call for work…he’s an economist and for some reason he thinks deficit spending and real inflation numbers are related and are actually an issue; he made it abundantly clear that it’s not a politics debate and that element needs to be set aside to have a reasonable discussion.

I still think one of my all time favorite HQ2 takes is that printing trillions of dollars and pumping them into the economy didn’t cause any inflation.

Did those dollars get pumped into the economy? Musk, Bezos, Gates, et all have had a net increase in wealth of many many billions. What are they spending it on that is increasing prices? The stock market keeps going up - that means people are HODLing their stocks, not selling it and spending on vacations. If someone got a COVID check but that just replaced wages they would have otherwise gotten, that isn't a net increase of money into the economy - but whatever goods or services they otherwise would have produced didn't get produced and are now scarcer.
Title: Re: Economies
Post by: Custard on February 02, 2024, 11:00:44 AM
Yes, those rich tech guys that sell goods and services to the people and businesses who received the newly printed money did disproportionately benefit from printing the money.
Title: Re: Economies
Post by: murphstahoe on February 02, 2024, 11:07:05 AM
Yes, those rich tech guys that sell goods and services to the people and businesses who received the newly printed money did disproportionately benefit from printing the money.

does that cause egg prices to go up 2 bucks a dozen?
Title: Re: Economies
Post by: Custard on February 02, 2024, 11:17:02 AM
Avian flu + somewhat increased demand does that.

Demand for all goods and services rose after the pandemic, obviously, as a great many families had been paid a large chunk of money by the government and didn’t have as many places to spend it prior. Plus their desire to get out and do something.

For obvious reasons, software, tech, and delivery services did really well during the lockdowns.
Title: Re: Economies
Post by: murphstahoe on February 02, 2024, 11:18:35 AM
Avian flu + somewhat increased demand does that.

Demand for all goods and services rose after the pandemic, obviously, as a great many families had been paid a large chunk of money by the government and didn’t have as many places to spend it prior. Plus their desire to get out and do something.

For obvious reasons, software, tech, and delivery services did really well during the lockdowns.

So people started eating more eggs?
Title: Re: Economies
Post by: Custard on February 02, 2024, 11:20:37 AM
I’ve covered this multiple times
Title: Re: Economies
Post by: ThePAMan on February 02, 2024, 11:43:19 AM
I’ve covered this multiple times

So has Murph...
Title: Re: Economies
Post by: ThePAMan on February 02, 2024, 11:44:14 AM
Sleepy Joe has US at number 1 - suck it OPEC fucks!

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/chart-day-us-crude-oil-044740808.html

https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/column-rising-us-oil-production-frustrates-opec-cuts:-kemp

Title: Re: Economies
Post by: Custard on February 02, 2024, 12:19:20 PM
So has Murph...

I know it’s a symbolic thing he’s doing, but egg consumption per capita peaked in 2019, fell off during the pandemic, then rose steadily as we came out of it.

Demand for eggs grew in 2023 despite record high prices during a good chunk of the year.

Hotels, resorts, cruise ships, restaurants go through a LOT of eggs.
Title: Re: Economies
Post by: murphstahoe on February 02, 2024, 12:29:58 PM
I’ve covered this multiple times
Yet you still don't understand inelastic demand. I mean, I'm an engineer but I did take Econ 101 with Gottheil. He explained it pretty well - guess you were sleeping in instead of at Foellinger.
Title: Re: Economies
Post by: murphstahoe on February 02, 2024, 12:38:32 PM
I know it’s a symbolic thing he’s doing, but egg consumption per capita peaked in 2019, fell off during the pandemic, then rose steadily as we came out of it.

Demand for eggs grew in 2023 despite record high prices during a good chunk of the year.

Hotels, resorts, cruise ships, restaurants go through a LOT of eggs.

That consumption fall was *because of a reduction in supply* - not because of demand. It doesn't matter how much money you have - you can't eat eggs that don't exist. Starts to feel like you are of the same ilk as these bitcoin dopes - if we all buy bitcoin we'll all be rich, and we can all retire and take vacations to Hawaii - neglecting the fact that all the pilots and airport workers and hotel workers have retired as well.

When the avian flu cratered production *depite* the inelastic demand, that curve had to break and prices went up. Flocks have been rebuilt and prices are dropping rapidly. So yes, we are eating more eggs now (despite my joke and despite inelastic demand) simply because there are more eggs in existence. Producers cannot hold prices up because they had risen to the point where some people were simply forced to make substitutions  - but given there is demand at a lower price point that is still profitable, producers are filling the void now that the flu has abated.

I eat eggs at restaurants.  This may shock you but I also eat eggs at home.
Title: Re: Economies
Post by: ThePAMan on February 02, 2024, 01:31:17 PM
That consumption fall was *because of a reduction in supply* - not because of demand. It doesn't matter how much money you have - you can't eat eggs that don't exist. Starts to feel like you are of the same ilk as these bitcoin dopes - if we all buy bitcoin we'll all be rich, and we can all retire and take vacations to Hawaii - neglecting the fact that all the pilots and airport workers and hotel workers have retired as well.

When the avian flu cratered production *depite* the inelastic demand, that curve had to break and prices went up. Flocks have been rebuilt and prices are dropping rapidly. So yes, we are eating more eggs now (despite my joke and despite inelastic demand) simply because there are more eggs in existence. Producers cannot hold prices up because they had risen to the point where some people were simply forced to make substitutions  - but given there is demand at a lower price point that is still profitable, producers are filling the void now that the flu has abated.

I eat eggs at restaurants.  This may shock you but I also eat eggs at home.

What about green eggs and ham?
Title: Re: Economies
Post by: Custard on February 02, 2024, 02:41:57 PM
The demand isn’t truly inelastic.

There weren’t eggs in the spring of 2020 because people were panic buying. Prices spiked because producers couldn’t keep up.

https://www.axios.com/2020/03/28/retail-egg-shortage-coronavirus

In April of that year the FDA issued guidance to egg producers that eased restrictions on selling to end markets to combat the shortage at retail.

https://www.fda.gov/media/136732/download#:~:text=According%20to%20the%20egg%20industry,in%20the%20table%20egg%20market

Demand eventually cratered because the panic subsided and schools and cruise ships and hotels and resorts weren’t burning through them (and throwing 1/3 of them away) like usual. People waste far less food preparing it at home.

Historically speaking, a *lot* fewer eggs were consumed in the US in 2020, and Avian flu didn’t happen until last year. Despite that, more eggs were consumed in 2023 than 2020.
Title: Re: Economies
Post by: Custard on February 02, 2024, 02:43:07 PM
Eggs are a shitty example anyways.

Beef and home prices more indicative of what people can cash flow.

Eggs and pork and chicken are still dirt cheap. Beef is high and has been high because people will pay up for it. Supply is tight, but demand has been high.
Title: Re: Economies
Post by: ThePAMan on February 02, 2024, 02:51:26 PM
Custard now trusting Axios and The FDA....good thing Judge Judy is under anesthesia right now.
Title: Re: Economies
Post by: Custard on February 02, 2024, 03:10:37 PM
It’s part of being outed as a champagne liberal. Or is it Champaign?
Title: Re: Economies
Post by: illiniray on February 02, 2024, 06:00:32 PM
Fed studies have shown little or no link between deficits and inflation.

The post pandemic inflation was most certainly largely a transitory supply driven issue.

Part of was wage inflation. People getting 18 bucks an hour to do unskilled labor has an impact that isn't going away.

There is a strange  notion that the supply demand curve affects money; that printing more of it decreases its value; the way increasing oil production reduces the price.

Yes, it can increase demand, but the alternative is always worse.  We don't use QE in the midst of robust economic growth.

The only reason to whine about post pandemic inflation is to blame Biden. The small amount of inflation attributable to stimuli was far better than serious deflation.
Title: Re: Economies
Post by: illiniray on February 02, 2024, 06:09:45 PM

I eat eggs at restaurants.  This may shock you but I also eat eggs at home.

You're going to need statins. 
Title: Re: Economies
Post by: illiniray on February 02, 2024, 06:10:48 PM
What about green eggs and ham?

I needed that.
Title: Re: Economies
Post by: murphstahoe on February 02, 2024, 10:15:21 PM
You're going to need statins.

My bloodwork is pretty much perfect. I don't eat any form of added sugar, that pretty much will do it.
Title: Re: Economies
Post by: Custard on February 03, 2024, 11:34:22 AM
The “science” on dietary cholesterol has changed dramatically since the 80s
Title: Re: Economies
Post by: illiniray on February 03, 2024, 12:04:37 PM
The “science” on dietary cholesterol has changed dramatically since the 80s

Yes and no. Might be enough to stay away from trans fat. Still, a diet high in ldl is not recommended.