Well, you are never as good as your best game or as bad as your worst.
The teams that make the FF are all pretty good, and get on a nice roll with some luck for four games.
We could certainly do that as can about 15-20 other teams. I think we should get to S16 if we play decent.
After that you have to play well versus two quality or hot opponents to get to FF.
We need to shoot our average from three for those four games which is roughly (10/27 ish) to have a chance. And we need a decent game from Kofi, and be good enough from each of the following - the FT line, shoot over 40% , get some balanced scoring, some bench play, offensive boards, average TOs, decent D, and a little luck. Take a major shit in any one of those in a game and we can lose to anybody in the tourney.