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Let's talk about something we all can agree on...

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ILLove1997

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Re: Let's talk about something we all can agree on...
« Reply #3855 on: August 13, 2026, 06:01:40 PM »
Quote from: Reacher on August 13, 2026, 05:16:39 PM


funny that the jewish lesbian is too cheap to buy a subscription
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Custard

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Re: Let's talk about something we all can agree on...
« Reply #3856 on: August 14, 2026, 09:40:43 AM »
Quote from: ILLove1997 on August 13, 2026, 06:01:40 PM
funny that the jewish lesbian is too cheap to buy a subscription

😬
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Reacher

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Re: Let's talk about something we all can agree on...
« Reply #3857 on: August 14, 2026, 11:08:48 AM »
Quote from: ILLove1997 on August 13, 2026, 06:01:40 PM
funny that the jewish lesbian is too cheap to buy a subscription

Are you implying it’s because she’s Jewish?
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ThePAMan

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Re: Let's talk about something we all can agree on...
« Reply #3858 on: August 14, 2026, 11:14:35 AM »
Quote from: Reacher on August 13, 2026, 05:12:29 PM
https://www.trendfollowing.com/nate-silver/

How I Acted Like a Pundit and Screwed Up on Donald Trump” to not using his statistical models on Donald Trump’s candidacy. He instead used educated guesses, which blew his statistical-model-made-me-so-famous-you-can-now-trust-I-am-not-a-typical-pundit-with-built-in-biases story line out of the water. Worse yet, the way Silver had made his predictions, he could essentially say he was right no matter what happened. For Silver’s followers, his 2016 hedged forecasts, his arguable mathturbation, doesn’t matter:

You are conflating two issues: 1. Making predictions off of polling and 2. Analyzing the election voting data itself. We are talking about 2, not 1.

Again, the PAOTCMan is proven right..

https://www.gelliottmorris.com/p/2026-08-13-wisconsin-poll-reanalysis?utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email

The Wisconsin polls overweighted younger; i. e. progressive voters and moderate dems avoided responding to polls ....

The PAOTCMan wins again using facts instead of "LOLs"
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Reacher

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Re: Let's talk about something we all can agree on...
« Reply #3859 on: August 14, 2026, 11:16:39 AM »
PAMan is right like 2 times out a 100 and acts like he’s never wrong.
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Reacher

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Re: Let's talk about something we all can agree on...
« Reply #3860 on: August 14, 2026, 11:18:23 AM »
So you’re kind of shooting yourself in the foot here. You’re boasting about poor performances compared to polling for Progressives, yet also saying the polling is unreliable.
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ThePAMan

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Re: Let's talk about something we all can agree on...
« Reply #3861 on: August 14, 2026, 11:19:36 AM »
Quote from: Reacher on August 14, 2026, 11:16:39 AM
PAMan is right like 2 times out a 100 and acts like he’s never wrong.
More spreading of misinformation.
My track record is close to perfect! Justin Fields agrees!
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ThePAMan

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Re: Let's talk about something we all can agree on...
« Reply #3862 on: August 14, 2026, 11:23:52 AM »
Quote from: Reacher on August 14, 2026, 11:18:23 AM
So you’re kind of shooting yourself in the foot here. You’re boasting about poor performances compared to polling for Progressives, yet also saying the polling is unreliable.

No, it confirms what I have said about who is supporting the progressive/DSA agenda.... Young eductated ex-suburbanites who are frustrated because they think they are entitled to 6 figure jobs out of college despite majoring in dumb assed shit.
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Custard

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Re: Let's talk about something we all can agree on...
« Reply #3863 on: August 15, 2026, 11:35:21 AM »
Quote from: Reacher on August 12, 2026, 12:33:47 PM
It’s why our country is swirling the drain.

Lol. Our country is objectively doing just fine

Economy strong
Drug overdoses and crime sharply down
Thousands of criminals Biden let in rounded up and sent back to their countries
Low unemployment
Many grocery prices down
Gas affordable
Life expectancy setting new highs

You should probably flee to Ireland
« Last Edit: August 15, 2026, 11:41:22 AM by Custard »
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Reacher

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Re: Let's talk about something we all can agree on...
« Reply #3864 on: August 15, 2026, 12:06:02 PM »
Quote from: Custard on August 15, 2026, 11:35:21 AM


You should probably flee to Ireland

Don't threaten me with a good time.
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Reacher

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Re: Let's talk about something we all can agree on...
« Reply #3865 on: August 15, 2026, 12:07:06 PM »
Quote from: Custard on August 15, 2026, 11:35:21 AM
Lol. Our country is objectively doing just fine

Economy strong
Drug overdoses and crime sharply down
Thousands of criminals Biden let in rounded up and sent back to their countries
Low unemployment
Many grocery prices down
Gas affordable
Life expectancy setting new highs

You should probably flee to Ireland

You forgot $40 trillion in debt and endless wars. Lessening democracy, massively growing corruption, and oligarchy.
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Reacher

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Re: Let's talk about something we all can agree on...
« Reply #3866 on: August 15, 2026, 12:08:04 PM »
And a worsening healthcare crisis.
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alum74

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Re: Let's talk about something we all can agree on...
« Reply #3867 on: August 15, 2026, 12:24:23 PM »
Quote from: Custard on August 15, 2026, 11:35:21 AM
Lol. Our country is objectively doing just fine

Economy strong
Drug overdoses and crime sharply down
Thousands of criminals Biden let in rounded up and sent back to their countries
Low unemployment
Many grocery prices down
Gas affordable
Life expectancy setting new highs

You should probably flee to Ireland


Custard doesn't seem to realize that real people stand at gas pumps and checkout counters, plus they pay bills for housing, rent, meds, health insurance, utilities, etc.  They are not happy campers.  It helps explain Trump's low approval ratings.

And even Republicans are catching up to where most of the country has been for months when it comes to the economy.
https://www.axios.com/2026/08/14/consumer-sentiment-republicans

« Last Edit: August 15, 2026, 12:28:39 PM by alum74 »
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Reacher

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Re: Let's talk about something we all can agree on...
« Reply #3868 on: August 15, 2026, 05:10:18 PM »
Nearly 2/3rds of households live paycheck to paycheck.

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Custard

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Re: Let's talk about something we all can agree on...
« Reply #3869 on: August 15, 2026, 09:12:53 PM »
Quote from: alum74 on August 15, 2026, 12:24:23 PM


Custard doesn't seem to realize that real people stand at gas pumps and checkout counters, plus they pay bills for housing, rent, meds, health insurance, utilities, etc.  They are not happy campers.  It helps explain Trump's low approval ratings.

And even Republicans are catching up to where most of the country has been for months when it comes to the economy.
https://www.axios.com/2026/08/14/consumer-sentiment-republicans

Like I don’t do all of those things myself?

Should know by now any poll on Trump is completely worthless. Many people aren’t as dumb as you think they are and realize that the bulk of affordability issues have their roots in the post-pandemic Biden era.

I’ll happily lay the blame at Trump’s feet for being part of the economy closing and money printing problem that is still rearing it’s ugly head today.
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