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Da Economy

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ThePAMan

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Re: Da Economy
« Reply #705 on: August 20, 2026, 01:16:47 PM »
https://www.nytimes.com/2026/08/20/business/walmart-target-retail-consumer-economy.html?unlocked_article_code=1.61A.c-Wc.7f-TrAjfFwqK&smid=url-share

Walmart Posts Slowest Sales Growth in Years as Americans Tighten Wallets
Walmart and other big U.S. retailers have warned that consumers were being cautious, even if household balance sheets seemed healthy.

Thanks, Trump!
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Tempo: "PAMan is a pot stirrer and agent provocateur"
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murphstahoe

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Re: Da Economy
« Reply #706 on: August 20, 2026, 06:39:42 PM »
Quote from: ThePAMan on August 20, 2026, 01:16:47 PM
https://www.nytimes.com/2026/08/20/business/walmart-target-retail-consumer-economy.html?unlocked_article_code=1.61A.c-Wc.7f-TrAjfFwqK&smid=url-share

Walmart Posts Slowest Sales Growth in Years as Americans Tighten Wallets
Walmart and other big U.S. retailers have warned that consumers were being cautious, even if household balance sheets seemed healthy.

Thanks, Trump!

Truth. My balance sheet is fine, but seems the best part of retirement is doing a lot of cooking, because eating out has gotten ridiculous. It's fun, but the bills are just baffling even if you did the math and think you can afford it. No matter if Custard is lying about the price of eggs or not, if you make a couple of eggs for breakfast, it's definitely cheaper than a $15-$20 omelet.
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murphstahoe

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Re: Da Economy
« Reply #707 on: September 03, 2026, 06:00:39 PM »
New Fed Chair Warsh was pretty clear the target for inflation is 2%
That would imply they need to raise the Fed Rate (which is increasingly disconnected from the 10/30 year anyway, but would be their primary tool against inflation).

Vance gets up on stage to bitch about the Fed, saying that the Administration needs help from the Fed to lower Mortgage rates, by lowering the discount rate, which won't be of any meaning to the 10 year bond rate which mortgages are based upon, if anything the 10 year will go up in yield because the bond market will simply decide that the Administration is crazy and Warsh is going along with their stupidity.

Which just might happen, as Warsh comes out saying that 3-4% inflation is the target, not 2%. He might be moving the bar as an excuse to lower the fed rate, which won't do anything but cause problems.

These guys are clowns.
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Custard

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Re: Da Economy
« Reply #708 on: September 03, 2026, 11:19:33 PM »
Quote from: murphstahoe on September 03, 2026, 06:00:39 PM
New Fed Chair Warsh was pretty clear the target for inflation is 2%
That would imply they need to raise the Fed Rate (which is increasingly disconnected from the 10/30 year anyway, but would be their primary tool against inflation).

Vance gets up on stage to bitch about the Fed, saying that the Administration needs help from the Fed to lower Mortgage rates, by lowering the discount rate, which won't be of any meaning to the 10 year bond rate which mortgages are based upon, if anything the 10 year will go up in yield because the bond market will simply decide that the Administration is crazy and Warsh is going along with their stupidity.

Which just might happen, as Warsh comes out saying that 3-4% inflation is the target, not 2%. He might be moving the bar as an excuse to lower the fed rate, which won't do anything but cause problems.

These guys are clowns.

Yeah take me back to 2022 with the 4 decade high inflation and high interest rates and vaccine passports and private equity buying all the houses and rents skyrocketing and food prices spiraling higher and higher and Ukraine being invaded because Putin knew the entire west was being run by weak progressives

That was fun
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murphstahoe

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Re: Da Economy
« Reply #709 on: September 04, 2026, 12:00:07 AM »
Quote from: Custard on September 03, 2026, 11:19:33 PM
Yeah take me back to 2022 with the 4 decade high inflation and high interest rates and vaccine passports and private equity buying all the houses and rents skyrocketing and food prices spiraling higher and higher and Ukraine being invaded because Putin knew the entire west was being run by weak progressives

That was fun

Well, I can't do that, but Trump sure has. I guess you can get the measles and we won't bother you.

Frankly 2022 would be better. The 30 year is higher than it's been since 2007, same with the 10. I bought a house in 2022. Our interest rate was 5 1/8. Rates now are at 7. I guess that private equity is too distracted by propping up the cancer centers I mean data centers to buy up all the houses. No real need to worry about cancer, you'll die because you can't afford to run your AC since Trump sold all the electricity to OpenAI. Except in Northwest Indiana, they don't have power just because it's an incompetent red state and can't fix the powerlines.
« Last Edit: September 04, 2026, 12:14:48 AM by murphstahoe »
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Custard

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Re: Da Economy
« Reply #710 on: September 15, 2026, 08:48:15 AM »
Corn $1.25 and beans $2.25 higher than last year at harvest, approaching multi year highs. Good opportunity to market grain above the cost of production. Most market analysts think it’ll go higher yet. Farmers actually in a good ish mood for the first time since maybe 2022.

Big Ag colluding to get it all back though by colluding to artificially jack up fertilizer and crop protection even more than they already have.
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Poster Boy for White Male Indifference

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murphstahoe

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Re: Da Economy
« Reply #711 on: September 15, 2026, 11:05:58 AM »
Quote from: Custard on September 15, 2026, 08:48:15 AM
Corn $1.25 and beans $2.25 higher than last year at harvest, approaching multi year highs. Good opportunity to market grain above the cost of production. Most market analysts think it’ll go higher yet. Farmers actually in a good ish mood for the first time since maybe 2022.

Big Ag colluding to get it all back though by colluding to artificially jack up fertilizer and crop protection even more than they already have.

Farmers aren’t making bank from higher prices if they are paying 6/gallon for diesel
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Custard

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Re: Da Economy
« Reply #712 on: September 15, 2026, 12:23:54 PM »
Quote from: murphstahoe on September 15, 2026, 11:05:58 AM
Farmers aren’t making bank from higher prices if they are paying 6/gallon for diesel

Fuel prices will cost $5-8 an acre more than last year’s fuel prices in 250 bushel corn depending on management style. Ran this through AI to verify.

An extra $1.25 per bushel in 250 bu/ac corn is $312.00 an acre more than last year.
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“Custard, you were RIGHT!” -Tempo
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ThePAMan

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Re: Da Economy
« Reply #713 on: September 15, 2026, 12:50:23 PM »
Tell it to the farmer outside of the Peotone Travel Stop, sponsor of last week's Tempo hit, that put up a billboard in his cornfield that says "Fuck Trump"
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alum74

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Re: Da Economy
« Reply #714 on: September 15, 2026, 12:58:00 PM »
Quote from: murphstahoe on September 15, 2026, 11:05:58 AM
Farmers aren’t making bank from higher prices if they are paying 6/gallon for diesel

Not just fuel, but higher fertilizer, machinery and labor costs, coupled with more debt and higher interest expenses.   

Let's see what the American Farm Bureau thinks: 

"One of the clearest measures of the changing farm economy is the relationship between the prices farmers receive for their products and the prices they pay for what they need to grow their crops. For crop farms, USDA’s prices paid for production inputs index stood at 110.8 in July 2018 and reached 153.4 in July 2026, an increase of more than 38%. Over the same period, the prices received for crop products index increased from 86.5 to 107.0, a gain of about 24%. This widening difference helps explain why higher commodity prices do not necessarily mean stronger margins. When input costs rise faster than the value of what farmers sell, break-even prices increase and producers have less room to absorb market declines or unexpected expenses. Productivity gains can offset some of these higher costs for growers able to increase yields, while producers facing lower yields experience even greater margin pressure."
https://www.fb.org/intel/markets/the-farm-economy-has-changed-since-2018
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murphstahoe

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Re: Da Economy
« Reply #715 on: September 15, 2026, 04:42:52 PM »
Quote from: alum74 on September 15, 2026, 12:58:00 PM
Not just fuel, but higher fertilizer, machinery and labor costs, coupled with more debt and higher interest expenses.   

Let's see what the American Farm Bureau thinks: 

"One of the clearest measures of the changing farm economy is the relationship between the prices farmers receive for their products and the prices they pay for what they need to grow their crops. For crop farms, USDA’s prices paid for production inputs index stood at 110.8 in July 2018 and reached 153.4 in July 2026, an increase of more than 38%. Over the same period, the prices received for crop products index increased from 86.5 to 107.0, a gain of about 24%. This widening difference helps explain why higher commodity prices do not necessarily mean stronger margins. When input costs rise faster than the value of what farmers sell, break-even prices increase and producers have less room to absorb market declines or unexpected expenses. Productivity gains can offset some of these higher costs for growers able to increase yields, while producers facing lower yields experience even greater margin pressure."
https://www.fb.org/intel/markets/the-farm-economy-has-changed-since-2018

Yeah but Custard ran it through AI so checkmate
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ThePAMan

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Re: Da Economy
« Reply #716 on: September 15, 2026, 04:45:00 PM »
Quote from: murphstahoe on September 15, 2026, 04:42:52 PM
Yeah but Custard ran it through AI so checkmate

Another W for you, Murph!
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Mark Carman: "The Whitlock!...Caleb Williams failed Wayne Whitlock." Been told I need to take my dick out my mouth so maybe I "wont [sic] sound like such a fucking faggot all the time[.]"

Tempo: "PAMan is a pot stirrer and agent provocateur"
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murphstahoe

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Re: Da Economy
« Reply #717 on: September 15, 2026, 04:46:47 PM »
Quote from: ThePAMan on September 15, 2026, 04:45:00 PM
Another W for you, Murph!

And you say I shill for AI !!!
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Reacher

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Re: Da Economy
« Reply #718 on: September 15, 2026, 06:22:25 PM »
Quote from: murphstahoe on September 15, 2026, 04:42:52 PM
Yeah but Custard ran it through AI so checkmate

LOL
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That pervert Robert Kraft can go fuck himself.
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No one in Mn

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Re: Da Economy
« Reply #719 on: September 15, 2026, 08:12:23 PM »
But Custard replied to Tempo's post only about $6/gallon diesel prices and it's effect on profit.


« Last Edit: September 15, 2026, 08:26:20 PM by No one in Mn »
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Still hiding behind innuendo and practicing the art of omission.
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